Cardinals vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 26, 2023

Cardinals at Guardians

11:10 pm • BSGL

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

3 - 4

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Bieber			3.80	6-6
M.Liberatore			5.25	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 0-0	-1.5+162	o8-108	+100
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-194	u8-110	-118

Friday 11:10 p.m.

May 26, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 7.5-110

N.Gorman o0.5 Hits-209

0.5u

STL -105

0.53u

S.Bieber u5.5 Ks-122

Biebs is under this line in 8/10 starts, failing to get even 5 Ks in those 8 unders. STL with a 21.2 K% vs RHP this season (and 21.5% over the L2 weeks), and a slightly below average CSW% overall.

CLE -115

0.87u

STL -102

Available at FanDuel. This has moved a decent amount against open, so I'm not getting the best number, but I'm still showing value. My model puts the Cardinals' win odds at 56.7%, up from 50.5% implied. Shane Bieber bounced back in a big way in his most recent start, lasting eight innings. It's tied to increased velocity on his curveball. But he's still letting up a dangerous amount of hard contact that could come back to bite him soon. Matthew Liberatore looked great in his first start, carrying gains from Triple-A into the big leagues. Even at -102, there's still value in St. Louis.

STL +105

CLE -0.5 (F5)+110

1.76u

STL +110

0.5u

Bet to +108

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The Guardians are just 12-10 (.545) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 24th	CWS	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -142
May 23rd	CWS	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CWS -130
May 22nd	CWS	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE -125
May 21st	@NYM	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	NYM +120
May 21st	@NYM	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM +125

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out
Drew Rom
P
Rom is out with biceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Liberatore, P	91	5	2	4
RC.Stratton, P	25	2	3	0
RA.Pallante, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Nootbaar, CF	3-4	1	1
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-4	0	0
3N.Gorman, DH	0-4	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	1
5W.Contreras, C	0-3	0	0
6B.Donovan, RF	2-4	1	0
7P.DeJong, SS	0-4	0	0
8A.Burleson, LF	0-2	0	1
9T.Edman, 2B	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Bieber, P	108	6.2	2	2
RT.Stephan, P	24	0.2	0	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	2	0.2	0	0
RE.Clase, P	32	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	1
2A.Rosario, SS	1-3	0	3
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	0	0
4J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0
5J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0
6G.Arias, RF	0-2	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-0	0	0
7A.Gimenez, 2B	0-2	1	0
8M. Zunino, C	2-3	1	0
9M.Straw, CF	1-3	1	0