Braves vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 28, 2025
Braves at Royals
11:40 pm • FDSSOStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 5.00 | 0-2 | |
 |  | 3.71 | 5-8 |
Braves at Royals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Braves 46-63 | -1.5 | -1.5-106 | o9.5-105 | -170 |
Royals 55-55 | u9.5 | +1.5-114 | u9.5-116 | +142 |
Kauffman StadiumKansas City
Braves vs. Royals Expert Picks
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 43-76-4 (+5.4u)
ATL -1.5+100
1u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 87-77-1 (+15.4u)
ATL -1.5+105
1.05u
Spencer Strider sets the tone with a 29.6% K rate and a sharp 3.72 ERA, giving Atlanta a massive edge on the mound. Kansas City starts 45-year-old Rich Hill, who’s only pitched one game all season and brings a weak 4.3% K rate and a .354 xwOBA. This is a dream matchup for Atlanta’s offense.
The Braves lineup is loaded: Acuña, Olson, and Ozuna all crush lefties and post elite xwOBA numbers. Atlanta owns a .759 OPS and 116 wRC+ vs. LHP in the second half, while the Royals rank 29th in runs and can’t hit righties like Strider. KC’s bats look hopeless here.
Atlanta’s bullpen is trustworthy with a 3.88 ERA and proven arms for the late innings, while KC’s pen is overworked and vulnerable. Braves are 6-1 in their last seven against the Royals.
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 47-54-6 (-11.0u)
R.Hill u3.5 Ks-110
1u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 61-72-2 (-24.9u)
ATL -158
1.9u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 45-40-2 (-1.2u)
Under 9.5-110
0.55u
Braves vs. Royals Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Braves vs. Royals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Royals are 33-21 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Royals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Royals' 56 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Braves vs. Royals Injury Updates
Braves Injuries
- Chris SaleSP
Sale is out with ribs
Out
- Joe JimenezRP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
- Austin CoxRP
Cox is out with knee
Out
- AJ Smith-ShawverSP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Royals Injuries
- Michael LorenzenSP
Michael Lorenzen (illness) has been scratched, Angel Zerpa will start Saturday,
Out
- Kyle WrightSP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out
Braves vs. Royals Box Score
Braves Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 96 | 5 | 3 | 2 | |
 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 | 2-6 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Royals Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 81 | 4 | 3 | 4 | |
 | 22 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 30 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 32 | 1.1 | 0 | 4 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Braves vs. Royals Odds Comparison
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Braves at Royals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Braves 46-63 | o5.5+105 | u5.5-128 |
Royals 55-55 | o3.5-145 | u3.5+114 |