Braves vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 25, 2024

Braves at Pirates

8:05 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

0-0

1 - 4

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.25	11-12
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-0	-1.5+110	o8.5-107	-154
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-130	u8.5-112	+130

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 25, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

ATL -150

ATL -155

$1550.00

68-18 system 62-18 system 196-71 system

Over 8.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -108

Over 1 (1st Inn)+235

0.5u

Atlanta team-specific YRFI

Featured Insight
Braves have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 25% since the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Matt Olson is slugging .510 on non-fastballs down since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Mitch Keller has allowed a SLG of .400 on low non-fastballs since last season -- 13th worst among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP-- ninth Percentile.

29% of Austin Riley strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- tied for 14th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 50% of Mitch Keller's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 37 of 223 left-handed batters (17%) since last season -- 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% -- fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .171 (13-for-76) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season -- 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .270 -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 24th	ATL	W 11-5	+1.5 W	O 9	PIT +150
May 23rd	SF	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 8	SF -185
May 22nd	SF	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 7.5	SF -125
May 21st	SF	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 9	PIT +114
May 19th	@CHC	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	PIT +110

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Lopez, P	70	4.2	3	2
LA.Bummer, P	17	1.1	1	0
RP.Johnson, P	20	1	3	1
RJ.Herget, P	21	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0
5O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0
6M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0
7J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	0	1
8C.Tromp, C	0-3	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, PH	1-1	0	0
9Z.Short, 3B	0-2	0	0
9A.Duvall, PH	1-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	88	6.2	4	1
RC.Holderman, P	23	1.1	2	0
RD.Bednar, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	0	1
3C.Joe, 1B	1-4	0	0
4O.Cruz, SS	0-3	1	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-2	1	1
6E.Olivares, RF	0-3	0	1
6M.Taylor, CF	0-0	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	0-4	0	0
8J.Triolo, 3B	1-4	1	0
9J.Bae, CF	1-2	1	1
9J.Bae, RF	1-2	1	1