Braves vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2025

Braves at Pirates

8:05 pm • FDSSO

Atlanta Braves

39-19

3 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Heaney			5.39	5-10
A.Smith-Shawver			3.86	3-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 39-19	-1.5	-1.5+110	o9-104	-154
Pirates 30-28	u8.5	+1.5-131	u9-116	+130

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 10, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

A.Heaney o4.5 Ks+120

A.Smith-Shawver u2.5 Earned Runs+100

Smith-Shawver is -155 to go u15.5 pitching outs, so I’m expecting about 5 innings here. With the Pirates implied for 4.2 runs, I like u2.5 earned runs for him given the likely short leash. Projections do have Smith-Shawver closer to about 2.7 earned runs but he’s been in good form lately having gone u2.5 earned runs in three straight starts including eight innings of shutout ball last game. The Pirates are averaging 3.1 runs per game this season, lowest in baseball, so I’m willing to back Smith-Shawver at these odds and in this matchup.

Over 9-110

1.1u

Under 9-108

O.Cruz o1.5 Total Bases-115

$1.15

PIT +147

ATL -130 (F5)

0.5u

A.Smith-Shawver u4.5 Ks+100

Under 8.5+100

In short, PIT 81/79/57 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, ATL 85/70/72 - Heaney, both defenses & ATL pen have all been solid

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Braves	38-21	15-12	23-9	30-14	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Braves	27-28-4	7-18-2	20-10-2	22-19-3	5-9-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Braves	40-19	17-10	23-9	32-12	8-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 9th	ATL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT +126
May 7th	@STL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	STL +156
May 6th	@STL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 7	STL -118
May 5th	@STL	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	STL +112
May 4th	SD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 9	SD -112

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Smith-Shawver, P	97	5.2	7	1
RP.Johnson, P	9	0.2	0	0
LD.Lee, P	9	0.2	2	0
RR.Montero, P	14	0.2	0	1
RD.Hernandez, P	27	1.1	0	0
RS.Blewett, P	17	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, DH	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-5	2	1	1
5O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
6S.Murphy, C	1-3	1	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	1
8E.White, RF	1-4	0	0	0
9N.Allen, SS	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Baldwin, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Williams, PR	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Williams, SS	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Heaney, P	82	6	2	2
RT.Rainey, P	19	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	16	1	2	0
RD.Santana, P	10	1	1	0
LC.Ferguson, P	8	1	0	0
RC.Shugart, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	0-4	1	0
1L.Peguero, SS	0-1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, RF	0-4	0	0
2T.Pham, RF	0-1	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0
4J.Bart, C	4-4	0	1
4J.Bae, PR	0-0	1	0
4H.Davis, C	0-1	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0
6M.Gorski, 1B	2-5	0	1
6M.Gorski, CF	2-5	0	1
7A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	0	0
8A.Canario, LF	1-4	0	0
9J.Triolo, SS	0-3	0	0
9J.Triolo, 1B	0-3	0	0