Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 6, 2024

Braves at Nationals

10:45 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

0-0

5 - 2

Washington Nationals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Parker			4.29	7-10
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-0	-1.5+105	o8.5-120	-162
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-125	u8.5+100	+136

Thursday 10:45 p.m.

June 06, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

R.Lopez u4.5 Ks+125

0.5u

R.Lopez u17.5 Outs-115

0.5u

ATL -135 (F5)

0.34u

Small to -147

Under 8.5+100

$25.00

M.Parker u5.5 Hits Allowed+105

1.05u

Projection leans to the under in this spot and a +ev bet with devig odds of -119 over on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

WSH +1.5-110

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

Bet to -116

Featured Insight
Braves have won 63% of their games since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB. Nationals have won just 40% of their games since the 2022 season -- third worst.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

32% of Lane Thomas strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- tied for seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 32% of Jesse Chavez strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Marcell Ozuna has 57 home runs since last season -- sixth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Kyle Finnegan has allowed 15 home runs since last season -- tied for 11th most among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 409 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season -- 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% -- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Mitchell Parker when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- tied for 3rd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .253 -- 96th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has walked 2 of 81 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .198 (16-for-81) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season -- 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .272 -- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	78-84	33-48	45-36	5-15	72-69
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	81-73-8	40-37-4	41-36-4	8-12	72-61-8
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	66-96	32-49	34-47	7-13	58-83
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 5th	NYM	L 1-9	+1.5 L	O 9.5	NYM +120
Jun 4th	NYM	L 3-6	+1.5 L	U 9	NYM +120
Jun 3rd	NYM	L 7-8	+1.5 W	O 8	NYM -115
Jun 2nd	@CLE	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8	WSH +111
Jun 1st	@CLE	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE +120

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Lopez, P	86	6	7	2
LA.Bummer, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	9	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Albies, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	2	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Duvall, LF	1-3	1	1	2
6S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9B.Anderson, RF	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Martinez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Martinez, RF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Parker, P	71	7	2	2
RH.Harvey, P	24	1	0	3
RJ.Barnes, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	1	1
2L.Thomas, RF	1-4	1	1	1
3J.Winker, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
5K.Ruiz, C	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Meneses, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8N.Senzel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	0	0	0