Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 29, 2024

Blue Jays at Orioles

7:05 pm • SNET

Toronto Blue Jays

44-38

5 - 11

Baltimore Orioles

35-47

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Eflin			2.60	5-2
Y.Rodriguez			4.47	1-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 44-38	+1.5	+1.5-146	o8.5-122	+137
Orioles 35-47	u8.5	-1.5+122	u8.5+101	-163

Monday 7:05 p.m.

July 29, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

V.Guerrero o3.5 Total Bases+320

0.99u

V.Guerrero o1.5 Total Bases-105

Over 10.5 (Live)-105

0.95u

TOR o6.5 Team Total+350

0.25u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-111

TOR o1.5 Team Total (F5)-125

0.8u

Z.Eflin o3.5 Ks-130

1.35u

Projection lands at 4.63 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -169 giving us value at this number

Z.Eflin o2.5 Earned Runs+110

1.1u

😢

Over 9+100

Z.Eflin u17.5 Outs+155

Y.Rodriguez u14.5 Outs-102

0.74u

Projection lands at 13.51 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -128 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

Y.Rodriguez o4.5 Ks+120

Rodriguez is 6/8 to the over when throwing 68+ pitches (6+ Ks in each over with both misses vs KC). Pitch count should be absolutely safe today in the first game of a double header, with the Jays going bullpen game in game 2. Baltimore is tough, but Rodriguez has been really good against lefties (.233 wOBA, 25.3% K%) - very pertinent with the Orioles being so LHH heavy.

BAL -194

0.52u

BP4

BAL -1.5+110

1.1u

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Featured Insight
Orioles hitters are slugging .441 versus relief pitchers this season -- best in MLB. Blue Jays RPs have allowed a SLG of .440 this season -- tied for worst in MLB.

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 18-24 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Orioles' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	31-51	13-27	18-24	14-30	16-21
Blue Jays	48-34	25-16	23-18	18-16	30-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	35-44-3	22-16-2	13-28-1	22-20-2	13-23-1
Blue Jays	44-36-2	24-16-1	20-20-1	21-13	22-23-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	35-47	18-22	17-25	19-25	15-22
Blue Jays	44-38	25-16	19-22	20-14	24-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 28th	SD	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 9	BAL -140
Jul 27th	SD	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -105
Jul 26th	SD	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	SD -202
Jul 25th	@MIA	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8	BAL -207
Jul 24th	@MIA	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	MIA -136

Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Adley Rutschman
C
Rutschman is out with oblique
Out
Cade Povich
SP
Povich is out with hip
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Rodriguez, P	43	0.2	1	3
LB.Eisert, P	52	2.2	0	3
RY.Rodriguez, P	37	1.2	1	3
RT.Richards, P	30	2	1	0
RE.Swanson, P	25	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0	0
1S.Berroa, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2S.Horwitz, 2B	2-5	2	0	0
2S.Horwitz, 1B	2-5	2	0	0
3V.Guerrero, DH	3-5	2	1	2
4J.Turner, 1B	1-1	0	0	0
4A.Barger, LF	1-4	1	1	3
4A.Barger, RF	1-4	1	1	3
5D.Varsho, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Kirk, C	3-4	0	0	0
7D.Schneider, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Schneider, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8E.Clement, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9L.Jimenez, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Eflin, P	98	6	7	3
LK.Akin, P	14	1	1	1
RB.Smith, P	29	2	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Cowser, LF	1-3	2	0	1
2A.Santander, DH	2-4	2	1	2
3G.Henderson, SS	1-4	2	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	3-4	2	1	2
5R.O'Hearn, RF	0-2	0	0	1
5C.Pache, RF	1-1	0	0	0
6J.Westburg, 2B	3-5	1	0	2
7C.Mullins, CF	1-3	1	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0	2
9J.McCann, C	1-3	1	0	1