Athletics vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - June 28, 2025

Athletics at Yankees

5:05 pm • YES

Athletics

19-18

7 - 0

New York Yankees

26-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Schmidt			3.32	4-4
J.Sears			4.95	7-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Athletics 19-18	+1.5	+1.5+124	o9.5-102	+239
Yankees 26-12	u9	-1.5-152	u9.5-117	-304

Saturday 5:05 p.m.

June 28, 2025

Yankee StadiumBronx

NYY -1.5-125

$1.25

J.Sears u15.5 Outs-140

0.7u

Under 5.5 (F5)-118

0.42u

The Yankees’ implied team total has skyrocketed to 6.2 runs so this is scary. At the same time, the Yankees are on a historic (poor) run where they’ve now gone under their game total in 15 straight games. I don’t have the stomach to play the full game total here with the A’s owning the worst bullpen (5.93 ERA) but I think there’s value in the F5 u5.5. JP Sears has outperformed his surface metrics. He has a 5.44 ERA but a 4.37 xERA. He has a 5.31 FIP but a 4.77 xFIP. His biggest issue has been home runs (2.00 HR/9) but he has a career-low walk rate (5.4% BB%). Clarke Schmidt has been fantastic with a 2.82 ERA backed by a 2.67 xERA. Again, I won’t sugar coat this as it’s a scary spot, but I have this projected closer to 5 runs and just pray both pitchers can keep the ball in the park for the first half.

NYY -1.5-125

1.25u

A.Judge o2.5 Total Bases-105

$1.05

C.Schmidt o2.5 Earned Runs+144

1.44u

N.Kurtz o0.5 HR+470

2.35u

NYY -1.5-120

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Over 9-115

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C.Schmidt o4.5 Hits Allowed-125

NYY -1.5-125

ATH +1.5+110

1.1u

Non divisional dogs off a loss Overall: 572-372-16,61% (ROI:13%) Season:21-11-0,66% (ROI:26%)

ATH +1.5+105

1.05u

NYY -1.5-115

1.2u

ATH +200

Only A's edge is base running, but similar bullpen estimators L30 days - just a bit high

Athletics vs Yankees: Play the Run Line
Tony Sartori•
Jun 28, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 11-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Yankees' 20 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	23-15	12-8	11-7	21-15	2-0
Athletics	22-15	7-9	15-6	3-5	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	18-18-2	12-7-1	6-11-1	17-17-2	1-1
Athletics	19-17-1	11-5	8-12-1	6-2	12-14-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	26-12	14-6	12-6	24-12	2-0
Athletics	19-18	8-8	11-10	4-4	14-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 27th	ATH	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY -272
Jun 25th	@CIN	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 9	NYY -211
Jun 24th	@CIN	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CIN -168
Jun 23rd	@CIN	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 10	CIN -126
Jun 22nd	BAL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 10	NYY -220

Carlos Rodon
SP
Rodon is out with elbow
Out
Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out with elbow
Out
Clarke Schmidt
SP
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Volpe
SS
Volpe is out with shoulder
Out

Gunnar Hoglund
SP
Hoglund is out with back
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Sears, P		90	5.2	4	0
RJ.Perkins, P		48	3.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Butler, RF	0-3	1	0	0
2J.Wilson, SS	1-4	1	0	0
3B.Rooker, DH	1-4	2	1	1
4N.Kurtz, 1B	1-4	2	1	3
5M.Muncy, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
6T.Soderstrom, LF	1-3	0	0	1
7L.Urias, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Wynns, C	1-4	0	0	1
9D.Clarke, CF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	85	6	7	4
RI.Hamilton, P	19	1	0	0
RA.Winans, P	50	2	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2C.Bellinger, CF	1-3	0	0	0
3A.Judge, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4G.Stanton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Chisholm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Volpe, SS	0-2	0	0	0
7A.Wells, C	0-3	0	0	0
8D.LeMahieu, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Dominguez, LF	0-3	0	0	0