Astros vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 4, 2024

Astros at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH
5 - 12
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Nick Martinez logoN.MartinezCincinnati Reds logo3.1010-7
Spencer Arrighetti logoS.ArrighettiHouston Astros logo4.537-13

Astros at Reds Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros
0-2
-1.5+110
o9-101
-148
Reds
0-0
+1.5-130
u9-119
+124
location pinWednesday 10:40 p.m.
September 04, 2024
Great American Ball ParkCincinnati
Astros vs. Reds Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
70d ago
Last 30d: 24-44-0 (-15.0u)
A.Bregman o1.5 Total Bases-105
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
70d ago
Last 30d: 222-229-2 (+4.4u)
Under 9-115
1u
.tsa umpire friendly unders Overall: 2125-1495-172,59% (ROI:13%) Season:56-46-3,55% (ROI:7%)
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
70d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-1 (-9.7u)
HOU -134
1.34u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
70d ago
Last 30d: 108-102-5 (-3.6u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110
1.1u
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
70d ago
Last 30d: 171-279-2 (+6.7u)
CIN +1.5-125
0.8u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
70d ago
Last 30d: 66-87-0 (-25.7u)
S.Arrighetti o5.5 Ks-115
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
70d ago
Last 30d: 65-68-3 (+21.2u)
Under 9-113
1u
CIN +128
1.28u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
70d ago
Last 30d: 89-113-3 (-31.5u)
Under 5 (F5)-130
1u
Houston starter Spencer Arrighetti has been on of late. Overall his 4.63 ERA is nothing to write home about; over his last three starts, though, he has been very dominant at an ERA of 1.86 and WHIP of just 0.98, indicating very good control at a limited number of base runners allowed. Also, the 22 strikeouts in 19.1 innings of those games further reinforce the fact that he can neutralize the offense of opponents and give a low score in the first five innings. Another positive factor in his favor is the groundball-to-flyball ratio, which means a person pitches fewer fly balls, therefore keeping the run total down during the early part of the game. Nick Martinez for Cincinnati is solid under projection for today's game. While the ERA sits at 3.78 and he has a 2.92 ground ball-to-fly ball ratio, Martinez does consistently induce weak contact that in all ways suppresses extra-base hits and runs scored. His WHIP does sit at an admittedly elevated level of 1.41 over his last three starts, but overall career numbers seem to indicate he can be more efficient. Like Arrighetti, Martinez has accounted for 22 strikeouts over his last three outings, further solidifying his ability to neutralize a potent offense. They're on some good recent trends to the under, especially on grass. Houston has gone under in 5 of their last 8 grass games, while Cincinnati has been under in 11 of their last 15 on the same surface. This is indicating a tendency towards lower-scoring games, and that should be reinforced with head-to-head meetings which have gone under in 6 of the last 8. Certainly, when the wind is blowing in from center field at 5 mph, the conditions also favor the pitchers by not allowing fly balls to turn into home runs. So, considering these trends, pitching matchups, better bullpen strength, and weather conditions, this game for the first five innings is likely to be on the low side.
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
70d ago
Last 30d: 62-53-8 (+4.7u)
CIN +120
1.2u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
70d ago
Last 30d: 49-72-3 (-9.0u)
CIN +125
0.63u
Bet to +114
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
71d ago
Last 30d: 65-68-3 (+21.2u)
Under 9.5-116
1u

Astros vs. Reds Previews & Analysis

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Astros vs. Reds Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Astros vs. Reds Public Betting Percentages

73%

Bets%

27%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds
87-7540-4147-3433-3754-38
Astros
81-8040-4141-3956-6023-19

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Reds
73-81-835-40-638-41-238-29-335-52-5
Astros
65-91-537-41-328-50-245-66-518-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds
77-8539-4238-4336-3441-51
Astros
88-7346-3542-3866-5020-22

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 2ndHOUW 5-3+1.5 WU 9.5CIN +136
Sep 1stMILW 4-3+1.5 WU 9.5CIN +114
Aug 31stMILL 4-5+1.5 WO 8.5MIL +112
Aug 30thMILL 0-14-1.5 LO 9.5MIL -121
Aug 30thMILL 4-5+1.5 WU 9MIL -102

Astros vs. Reds Injury Updates

Astros Injuries

  • Lance McCullers
    P

    McCullers is out with arm

    Out

  • Cristian Javier
    P

    Javier is out with elbow

    Out

  • Luis Garcia
    P

    Garcia is out with elbow

    Out

Reds Injuries

  • Jeimer Candelario
    IF

    Candelario is out with toe

    Out

  • Stuart Fairchild
    OF

    Fairchild is out with thumb

    Out

  • Matt McLain
    IF

    McLain is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Brandon Williamson
    P

    Williamson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Graham Ashcraft
    P

    Ashcraft is out with elbow

    Out

  • Andrew Abbott
    P

    Abbott is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Christian Encarnacion-Strand
    IF

    Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand

    Out

Astros vs. Reds Box Score
Astros Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Spencer Arrighetti logoRS.Arrighetti, P380.209
Tayler Scott logoRT.Scott, P582.111
Forrest Whitley logoRF.Whitley, P481.220
Kaleb Ort logoRK.Ort, P211.110
Hector Neris logoRH.Neris, P14120
Ryan Pressly logoRR.Pressly, P12110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jose Altuve logo1J.Altuve, 2B1-3000
Shay Whitcomb logo1S.Whitcomb, 2B0-2000
Yordan Alvarez logo2Y.Alvarez, LF0-3000
Jason Heyward logo2J.Heyward, RF0-2000
Yainer Diaz logo3Y.Diaz, DH0-3100
Cesar Salazar logo3C.Salazar, PH0-1000
Alex Bregman logo4A.Bregman, 3B1-2100
Jon Singleton logo4J.Singleton, 1B1-2111
Victor Caratini logo5V.Caratini, C1-4000
Jeremy Pena logo6J.Pena, SS0-2000
Mauricio Dubon logo6M.Dubon, SS1-2100
Ben Gamel logo7B.Gamel, RF1-3101
Ben Gamel logo7B.Gamel, LF1-3101
Zach Dezenzo logo8Z.Dezenzo, 1B1-4002
Zach Dezenzo logo8Z.Dezenzo, 3B1-4002
Chas McCormick logo9C.McCormick, CF2-3001
Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Nick Martinez logoRN.Martinez, P1075.271
Brent Suter logoLB.Suter, P453.161
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jonathan India logo1J.India, 2B1-3311
Elly De La Cruz logo2E.De La Cruz, SS3-4302
Noelvi Marte logo2N.Marte, 3B0-1000
Tyler Stephenson logo3T.Stephenson, C2-4003
Will Benson logo3W.Benson, LF0-1000
TJ Friedl logo4T.Friedl, CF2-4102
Rece Hinds logo4R.Hinds, CF0-1000
Spencer Steer logo5S.Steer, LF1-5001
Spencer Steer logo5S.Steer, 1B1-5001
Ty France logo6T.France, 1B3-4101
Luke Maile logo6L.Maile, C0-1000
Jake Fraley logo7J.Fraley, RF1-4100
Santiago Espinal logo8S.Espinal, 3B0-2100
Santiago Espinal logo8S.Espinal, SS0-2100
Amed Rosario logo9A.Rosario, DH1-4202

Astros vs. Reds Odds Comparison

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Astros at Reds Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Astros
0-2
o4.5-125
u4.5-105
Reds
0-0
o3.5-125
u3.5-105