Astros vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 4, 2024
Astros at Reds
10:40 pm • BSOHStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
N.Martinez | 3.10 | 10-7 | ||
S.Arrighetti | 4.53 | 7-13 |
Astros at Reds Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Astros 0-2 | -1.5+110 | o9-101 | -148 | |
Reds 0-0 | +1.5-130 | u9-119 | +124 |
Wednesday 10:40 p.m.
September 04, 2024Great American Ball ParkCincinnati
Astros vs. Reds Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
70d ago
Last 30d: 24-44-0 (-15.0u)
A.Bregman o1.5 Total Bases-105
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
70d ago
Last 30d: 222-229-2 (+4.4u)
Under 9-115
1u
.tsa umpire friendly unders
Overall: 2125-1495-172,59% (ROI:13%)
Season:56-46-3,55% (ROI:7%)
The Degenerates
70d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-1 (-9.7u)
HOU -134
1.34u
💰🦡 Jake
70d ago
Last 30d: 108-102-5 (-3.6u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110
1.1u
Nick Martin
70d ago
Last 30d: 171-279-2 (+6.7u)
CIN +1.5-125
0.8u
Firefighter Bets
70d ago
Last 30d: 66-87-0 (-25.7u)
S.Arrighetti o5.5 Ks-115
1u
Moneyline Hacks
70d ago
Last 30d: 65-68-3 (+21.2u)
Under 9-113
1u
CIN +128
1.28u
Picks Office
70d ago
Last 30d: 89-113-3 (-31.5u)
Under 5 (F5)-130
1u
Houston starter Spencer Arrighetti has been on of late. Overall his 4.63 ERA is nothing to write home about; over his last three starts, though, he has been very dominant at an ERA of 1.86 and WHIP of just 0.98, indicating very good control at a limited number of base runners allowed. Also, the 22 strikeouts in 19.1 innings of those games further reinforce the fact that he can neutralize the offense of opponents and give a low score in the first five innings. Another positive factor in his favor is the groundball-to-flyball ratio, which means a person pitches fewer fly balls, therefore keeping the run total down during the early part of the game.
Nick Martinez for Cincinnati is solid under projection for today's game. While the ERA sits at 3.78 and he has a 2.92 ground ball-to-fly ball ratio, Martinez does consistently induce weak contact that in all ways suppresses extra-base hits and runs scored. His WHIP does sit at an admittedly elevated level of 1.41 over his last three starts, but overall career numbers seem to indicate he can be more efficient. Like Arrighetti, Martinez has accounted for 22 strikeouts over his last three outings, further solidifying his ability to neutralize a potent offense.
They're on some good recent trends to the under, especially on grass. Houston has gone under in 5 of their last 8 grass games, while Cincinnati has been under in 11 of their last 15 on the same surface. This is indicating a tendency towards lower-scoring games, and that should be reinforced with head-to-head meetings which have gone under in 6 of the last 8.
Certainly, when the wind is blowing in from center field at 5 mph, the conditions also favor the pitchers by not allowing fly balls to turn into home runs. So, considering these trends, pitching matchups, better bullpen strength, and weather conditions, this game for the first five innings is likely to be on the low side.
BJ Cunningham
70d ago
Last 30d: 62-53-8 (+4.7u)
CIN +120
1.2u
Sean Zerillo
70d ago
Last 30d: 49-72-3 (-9.0u)
CIN +125
0.63u
Bet to +114
Moneyline Hacks
71d ago
Last 30d: 65-68-3 (+21.2u)
Under 9.5-116
1u
Astros vs. Reds Previews & Analysis
Astros vs. Reds Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Astros vs. Reds Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Astros vs. Reds Injury Updates
Astros Injuries
- Lance McCullersP
McCullers is out with arm
Out
- Cristian JavierP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
- Luis GarciaP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Reds Injuries
- Jeimer CandelarioIF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
- Stuart FairchildOF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
- Matt McLainIF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
- Brandon WilliamsonP
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
- Graham AshcraftP
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
- Andrew AbbottP
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
- Christian Encarnacion-StrandIF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out
Astros vs. Reds Box Score
Astros Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RS.Arrighetti, P | 38 | 0.2 | 0 | 9 | |
RT.Scott, P | 58 | 2.1 | 1 | 1 | |
RF.Whitley, P | 48 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | |
RK.Ort, P | 21 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
RH.Neris, P | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
RR.Pressly, P | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Altuve, 2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1S.Whitcomb, 2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2Y.Alvarez, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2J.Heyward, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3Y.Diaz, DH | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3C.Salazar, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Bregman, 3B | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4J.Singleton, 1B | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
5V.Caratini, C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Pena, SS | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6M.Dubon, SS | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7B.Gamel, RF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
7B.Gamel, LF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
8Z.Dezenzo, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
8Z.Dezenzo, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
9C.McCormick, CF | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Reds Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN.Martinez, P | 107 | 5.2 | 7 | 1 | |
LB.Suter, P | 45 | 3.1 | 6 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.India, 2B | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
2E.De La Cruz, SS | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
2N.Marte, 3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Stephenson, C | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3W.Benson, LF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4T.Friedl, CF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
4R.Hinds, CF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5S.Steer, LF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5S.Steer, 1B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
6T.France, 1B | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
6L.Maile, C | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7J.Fraley, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8S.Espinal, 3B | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8S.Espinal, SS | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9A.Rosario, DH | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Astros vs. Reds Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Astros at Reds Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Astros 0-2 | o4.5-125 | u4.5-105 |
Reds 0-0 | o3.5-125 | u3.5-105 |