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Flyers vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2025

Flyers at Lightning

11:00 pm • ESPN+

Philadelphia Flyers

39-26-12
0
0 - 2

Tampa Bay Lightning

48-22-6
2

Flyers at Lightning Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Flyers
39-26-12
+1.5
+1.5-105
o5.5-120
+260
Lightning
48-22-6
u5.5
-1.5-115
u5.5+100
-325
location pinMonday 11:00 p.m.
March 17, 2025
Benchmark International ArenaTampa
Flyers vs. Lightning Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 98-86-4 (+4.0u)
TB -1.5-115
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TB -1.5-114
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 105-104-4 (-10.4u)
TB -1.5-115
0.87u
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TB -1.5-105
1u
Sura
Under 5.5+100
1u
Johnny
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 189-199-6 (-23.8u)
Under 6-120
0.83u
Tampa Bay's defense has been solid at home—allowing just 2.27 goals per game, ranking among the top teams in home defense. Their penalty kill at Amalie Arena is elite (85.1%), shutting down opposing power plays. Philly’s offense has struggled lately, averaging just 1.4 goals per game over their last five. Flyers’ power play is ice-cold (0% over last five). Philadelphia’s defense is leaky (3.37 GA/G), but Tampa’s offense has been inconsistent, scoring just 3.2 goals per game over their last five. Vasilevskiy’s .918 SV% gives Tampa an edge in net, making it tough for Philly to capitalize on limited chances. Flyers also average just 25 shots per game over the last five—won’t generate enough volume to push this over. These teams have trended under recently, with Tampa going under in 7 of their last 10. Tampa has been strong as a favorite (11-2 last 13) but plays disciplined, defensive hockey at home. Given Tampa’s strong PK and Philly’s offensive struggles, this one stays low-scoring.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 294-265-8 (+6.6u)
Under 5.5+130
0.91u
4.06% ev devig to Pinny

Flyers vs. Lightning Previews & Analysis

  • Flyers vs. Lightning Prediction, Pick, Odds, Best Bets article feature image

    Flyers vs. Lightning Prediction, Pick, Odds, Best Bets

    Action Network Staff•
    Mar 17, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Flyers vs. Lightning Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Flyers

Public

Home Logo

Lightning

3%

Bets%

97%

Money%

NHL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Lightning are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Lightning are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Lightning are 22-15 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Lightning' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Lightning' 38 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Lightning		38-3816-2222-1528-3810-0
Flyers		49-2822-1727-1110-1239-16

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Lightning		40-3618-2021-1636-304-6
Flyers		39-3817-2222-169-1330-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Lightning		48-22N/AN/A41-257-3
Flyers		39-26N/AN/A15-724-31

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 15th@BOSW 6-2-1.5 WO 5.5TB -185
Mar 13th@PHIL 3-4-1.5 LO 5.5PHI -155
Mar 11th@CARL 1-4+1.5 LU 5.5CAR +105
Mar 8thBOSL 0-4---
Mar 7thBUFW 6-5-1.5 LO 6.5TB -245

Lightning vs. Flyers Injury Updates

Lightning Injuries

  • Victor Hedman
    D

    Hedman is out with personal

    Out

  • Scott Sabourin
    RW

    Sabourin is day-to-day with undisclosed

    Day-to-Day

  • Brandon Hagel
    F

    Hagel is day-to-day with undisclosed

    Day-to-Day

  • Maxwell Crozier
    D

    Crozier is out for season with abdomen

    Out for Season

  • Dominic James
    C

    James is out with leg

    Out

  • Declan Carlile
    D

    Carlile is out with undisclosed

    Out

Flyers Injuries

  • Rodrigo Abols
    F

    Abols is out with ankle

    Out

  • Nikita Grebenkin
    RW

    Grebenkin is out with upper body

    Out

See more NHL Injuries Right Arrow
Team Stats

0
Goals
2
0
Assists
2
4
Penalties
5
21
Shots
23
41
Hits
19
26
Faceoffs Won
28

Flyers vs. Lightning Odds Comparison

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Flyers at Lightning Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Flyers
39-26-12
N/A
N/A
Lightning
48-22-6
N/A
N/A