Dolphins vs Patriots Odds & Live Scores - January 4, 2026

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 7-10	+2.5	+14.5-112	o44.5-102	+700
Patriots 0-0	u45.5	-14.5-108	u44.5-118	-1048

Under 50.5 (Live)-110

0.45u

Under 45.5-115

1u

Another

Under 45.5-115

1u

Seems low

NE -13.5-105

1.9u

J.Wright u16.5 Rush Att+102

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

J.Wright u16.5 Rush Att+102

0.51u

Should see big workload with Achane out, but should be a trailing game script and Ollie Gordon potentially mixing in on short yardage work and Wilson/Edwards could also mix in depending on if either are active. Proj closer to 15.5 with around a 58% chance to stay under 16.5

T.Henderson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+125

0.63u

@gneiffer07 https://myaction.app/Rn4JKP7ZBZb

J.Waddle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330

0.5u

@gneiffer07 https://myaction.app/Rn4JKP7ZBZb

R.Stevenson u10.5 Rush Att-120

0.83u

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D.Maye o3.5 Pass TDs+850

0.25u

It feels like the MVP race ended Monday night. Matthew Stafford was terrible, throwing three interceptions in front of a national TV audience. RIP to our preseason +5000 Stafford pick gone to the graveyard with Brock Purdy +5000 and Tom Brady +1400 preseason MVP picks that turned into December odds-on favorites in just the last five years before falling just short at the death. So it goes for long shots and futures bettors. Great bettors should have some heartbreaking losses, long odds that get oh-so-close — that's how you know it was a good bet and worth betting again the next time. The Rams are sputtering into the postseason, but Drake Maye dropped five TDs on the hapless Jets and the Patriots want a win to secure their seeding into the playoffs. Miami has played better down the stretch, but its pass defense has been terrible all season. The Dolphins have allowed the 7th most passing touchdowns at 1.75 per game, with at least two in 10-of-16 games, but it gets even worse. Miami has played only 11 games against opponent QB1s, and it's allowed 2+ pass TDs in all but one of those games. Consensus top 10 QBs Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, and of course Maye have played six times against Miami this season and recorded 18 total touchdowns, an average of three per game. That includes games of three, three, four, and four TDs. Maye has at least two passing TDs 11 times already, nearly three-fourths of his games, with a pair of 3-TD games plus last week's five. If he's going to pad his TD stats into the postseason, we may as well profit. Drink the juice on Maye to go over 1.5 passing TDs at -160 (bet365), and play the escalator: 3+ at +260 and 4+ at +850 (bet365).

D.Maye o2.5 Pass TDs+260

0.5u

It feels like the MVP race ended Monday night. Matthew Stafford was terrible, throwing three interceptions in front of a national TV audience. RIP to our preseason +5000 Stafford pick gone to the graveyard with Brock Purdy +5000 and Tom Brady +1400 preseason MVP picks that turned into December odds-on favorites in just the last five years before falling just short at the death. So it goes for long shots and futures bettors. Great bettors should have some heartbreaking losses, long odds that get oh-so-close — that's how you know it was a good bet and worth betting again the next time. The Rams are sputtering into the postseason, but Drake Maye dropped five TDs on the hapless Jets and the Patriots want a win to secure their seeding into the playoffs. Miami has played better down the stretch, but its pass defense has been terrible all season. The Dolphins have allowed the 7th most passing touchdowns at 1.75 per game, with at least two in 10-of-16 games, but it gets even worse. Miami has played only 11 games against opponent QB1s, and it's allowed 2+ pass TDs in all but one of those games. Consensus top 10 QBs Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, and of course Maye have played six times against Miami this season and recorded 18 total touchdowns, an average of three per game. That includes games of three, three, four, and four TDs. Maye has at least two passing TDs 11 times already, nearly three-fourths of his games, with a pair of 3-TD games plus last week's five. If he's going to pad his TD stats into the postseason, we may as well profit. Drink the juice on Maye to go over 1.5 passing TDs at -160 (bet365), and play the escalator: 3+ at +260 and 4+ at +850 (bet365).

D.Maye o1.5 Pass TDs-150

0.75u

It feels like the MVP race ended Monday night. Matthew Stafford was terrible, throwing three interceptions in front of a national TV audience. RIP to our preseason +5000 Stafford pick gone to the graveyard with Brock Purdy +5000 and Tom Brady +1400 preseason MVP picks that turned into December odds-on favorites in just the last five years before falling just short at the death. So it goes for long shots and futures bettors. Great bettors should have some heartbreaking losses, long odds that get oh-so-close — that's how you know it was a good bet and worth betting again the next time. The Rams are sputtering into the postseason, but Drake Maye dropped five TDs on the hapless Jets and the Patriots want a win to secure their seeding into the playoffs. Miami has played better down the stretch, but its pass defense has been terrible all season. The Dolphins have allowed the 7th most passing touchdowns at 1.75 per game, with at least two in 10-of-16 games, but it gets even worse. Miami has played only 11 games against opponent QB1s, and it's allowed 2+ pass TDs in all but one of those games. Consensus top 10 QBs Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, and of course Maye have played six times against Miami this season and recorded 18 total touchdowns, an average of three per game. That includes games of three, three, four, and four TDs. Maye has at least two passing TDs 11 times already, nearly three-fourths of his games, with a pair of 3-TD games plus last week's five. If he's going to pad his TD stats into the postseason, we may as well profit. Drink the juice on Maye to go over 1.5 passing TDs at -160 (bet365), and play the escalator: 3+ at +260 and 4+ at +850 (bet365).

D.Maye o1.5 Pass TDs-160

1u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/lgLexYHQBZb

D.Maye 4+ Passing Touchdowns Yes+850

0.12u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/lgLexYHQBZb

D.Maye 3+ Passing Touchdowns Yes+250

0.4u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/lgLexYHQBZb

MIA +10.5-110

1u

@sundaysixpack @ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/SNKRu2nuBZb

MIA +10.5-110

1.1u

@ChrisRaybon 3 https://myaction.app/SNKRu2nuBZb

There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.

No props found

NFL Public Betting

Patriots are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Patriots are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Patriots are 7-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Patriots' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Patriots' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Patriots	12-5	5-4	7-1	8-3	4-2
Dolphins	8-9	4-4	3-5	3-3	5-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Patriots	11-6	6-3	5-3	7-4	4-2
Dolphins	9-8	4-4	5-3	4-2	5-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Patriots	14-3	N/A	N/A	10-1	4-2
Dolphins	7-10	N/A	N/A	4-2	3-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 28th	@NYJ	W 42-10	-13 W	O 42.5	NE -1050
Dec 22nd	@BAL	W 28-24	+3.5 W	O 47.5	NE +171
Dec 14th	BUF	L 31-35	+2.5 L	O 49.5	BUF +120
Dec 2nd	NYG	W 33-15	-7 W	O 46.5	NE -372
Nov 23rd	@CIN	W 26-20	-7.5 L	U 50.5	NE -395

Mack Hollins
WR
Hollins is out with abdomen
Out
Antonio Gibson
RB
Gibson is out with knee
Out

Charles Woods
CB
Woods is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Terrell Jennings
RB
Jennings is out with concussion
Out

Darren Waller
TE
Waller is out with groin
Out
Tyreek Hill
WR
Hill is out with knee
Out
Jaylen Waddle
WR
Waddle is out with ribs
Out
Dee Eskridge
WR
Eskridge is out with toe
Out
De'Von Achane
RB
Achane is out with shoulder
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Dolphins

Total

Patriots

180

Total Yards

457

54

Total Plays

56

3.3

Yards Per Play

8.2

Dolphins

Passing

Patriots

137

YDS

214

16/25

Comps/Atts

17/22

4.034

YPA

9.727

1/1

TDs/INTs

1/0

4/20

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Dolphins

Rushing

Patriots

63

Rush Yards

243

25

Attempts

34

2.52

YPC

7.147

0

TDs

4

Dolphins

Turnovers

Patriots

1

Fumbles Lost

0

1

Interceptions

0

Dolphins

Efficiency

Patriots

1/3 33.33%

Redzone

4/5 80%

5/13 0%

3rd Down

5/10 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Patriots

13

Total

22

7

Pass

8

5

Rush

12

1

Penalty

2

Dolphins

Misc

Patriots

7/52

Penalties/Yards

4/52

29:11

Possession

30:49

MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 7-10	o14.5-105	u14.5-125
Patriots 0-0	o29.5-120	u29.5-105

Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - January 4, 2026

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