GA Southern vs. Georgia State Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2024

#ProSystem . windy unders cool to low temps Overall: 1150-856-23,57% (ROI:11%) Season:11-6-0,65% (ROI:24%)

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Georgia State enters this game with a solid 2-1 record, riding the momentum of a dramatic last-second victory over Vanderbilt. Christian Veilleux led the charge with 269 passing yards and three touchdowns in that game, while Freddie Brock added 96 rushing yards to round out a balanced offensive attack. Offensively, the Panthers have averaged 24 points per game with 239 passing yards and a strong 153.3 rushing yards per game. While they’ve allowed 29.3 points per game, they’ve done well on third downs, converting at a 43.2% rate, which will be crucial against Georgia Southern’s defense that is clearly vulnerable, allowing 34.8 points per game. Georgia Southern, on the other hand, is coming off a devastating blowout loss to Ole Miss, where they were outgained by over 400 yards and managed only 198 yards of offense while going a dreadful 3-17 on third downs. Their defense has been consistently porous, giving up over 30 points in every game this season except against South Carolina State. While JC French has been efficient with a 63.8% completion rate and six touchdowns to only one interception, the Eagles’ ground game is weak, averaging just 89.8 rushing yards per game. This lack of balance on offense combined with a defense that’s struggled against both strong and middling competition makes them vulnerable, especially on the road. Georgia State’s balanced attack, led by Veilleux and a reliable rushing game, should find success against a shaky Eagles defense that’s shown an inability to stop the run or pass consistently. The Panthers' offensive line has protected Veilleux well, allowing him to make plays both inside and outside the pocket. Georgia Southern’s inability to stop teams on third down (only 38.2% on third-down defense) will be exposed by Georgia State’s efficiency on third downs. Moreover, coming off a bye week, the Panthers should be more rested and better prepared, giving them a significant advantage, especially at home. While Georgia Southern is averaging 32 points per game, their numbers are inflated due to their early matchups against weaker teams like Nevada and South Carolina State. Their true form was exposed against Boise State and Ole Miss, where they allowed over 50 points in each contest. Expect Georgia State’s defense, while not elite, to do enough to contain JC French and force the Eagles into passing situations, which will play into the hands of the Panthers’ secondary. With Georgia Southern reeling from the blowout and facing a tough road test, Georgia State’s balanced offense and better-rested team should control the game. Backing the Panthers to cover the -2.5 spread feels like the right play, especially with Georgia State’s ability to convert on key downs and Georgia Southern’s defensive struggles.