Nuggets vs. 76ers Prediction, Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 16
Here's everything you need to know about Nuggets vs. 76ers on Tuesday, Jan. 16 — our expert prediction and betting picks for today.
The Denver Nuggets have continued their run of dominance with five wins in their last seven chances, and it would seem for all the world that we're in for a treat on Tuesday as we witness two of the top teams in the NBA do battle.
The Nuggets have thrown a wrench into the plans with a long injury report, and with their struggles on the road, will it be too much to overcome against a complete Sixers team?
Let's get to our Nuggets vs. 76ers prediction and pick.
Nuggets vs. 76ers Prediction
Pick: 76ers -1.5 (-106)
Nuggets Betting Outlook
The Nuggets are listing their entire starting five as questionable ahead of this game. Worse, everyone but Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. is said to be be dealing with a strain, which is slightly more severe in nature than inflammation or a contusion.
So, it's incredibly difficult to get a read on who will actually play in this game and it's a difficult one to handicap as a result. The line here would seem to indicate that oddsmakers are thinking almost all of Denver's starters will play, but even then a full bill of health might not be enough here.
The Nuggets are just 11-9 on the road, and they've covered in just 35% of these games. They have only been underdogs on the road three times, and only once did they manage to cover the spread. It would seem to make sense considering the Nuggets have seen a drop of three percentage points in their 3-point shooting on the road, and it hasn't helped that they've failed to rebound quite as well in these spots.
One thing the Nuggets can hang their hats on is the fact they own the sixth-best rim defense in the league, according to Cleaning the Glass, something that should help neutralize Joel Embiid a bit.
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76ers Betting Outlook
The Sixers are relatively healthy, and despite a few losses in their last five games they should not be doubted in this spot. Philly has struggled a bit offensively over the last 10 contests, but returning home, where it has seen a marked uptick in shooting and offensive efficiency, things should begin to turn around here.
Philadelphia sits ahead of Denver in both offensive and defensive rating this season, and the only real knock on this team would be its horrific rebounding numbers of late. However, more shots likely falling at home should mitigate the issue.
The Sixers have opted to take most of their shots around the rim this season, which in theory is concerning against an excellent frontcourt defense. But they've found more success from the mid-range than from 3 this season, which should leave the door open against a Denver team that lags behind in those areas.
Nuggets vs. 76ers Picks, Odds
| Nuggets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 -106 | 233 -112 / -108 | +108 |
| 76ers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 -114 | 233 -112 / -108 | -126 |
If you treat this game as if everyone's playing, which oddsmakers seem to be, you'd still have to favor the Sixers to come through in semi-convincing fashion. They've been absolute nails at home this year, going 15-6 straight-up and 14-5 against the spread as favorites, and that's nothing new considering they've owned one of the biggest homecourt advantages over the last few years.
Given the mounting injuries for Denver, there's no other place to look than laying the points with the Sixers. While their form has been slightly concerning, they should match up well with Denver and do damage from outside at home against a questionable perimeter defense.
Pick: Sixers -1.5 (-106)
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