It's 3 p.m. somewhere! That means it's time for a couple more 3-point props from tonight's NBA playoff slate.
I've got two bets that are showing value from tonight's slate, including Kristaps Porzingis in Celtics vs. Heat, and Nikola Jokic in Nuggets vs. Lakers.
As a reminder, you can follow all of my picks as I track them live in the Action App.
NBA Props Tonight | Monday, April 29
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:30 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Celtics vs. Heat
Kristaps Porzingis
Over 1.5 Three-Pointers (-131)
Kristaps Porzingis has hit this over in two of the three games in this series and five of the six games he's played against the Heat this year.
Porzingis is a matchup nightmare for Miami. The Heat started the series with Bam Adebayo on him, but have since moved Adebayo to a matchup with Jayson Tatum, and Tatum himself has said that Porzingis is "probably the most important guy on our team."
Porzingis spaces the floor and allows for quick outlets from Tatum and Jaylen Brown, who are constantly looking to drive to the rim. That takes the focus of the defense away from Porzingis and he's continued to get a lot of good looks from 3-point range.
This line would be more fairly set at 2.5 with plus-money to the over.
Pick: Kristaps Porzingis Over 1.5 Three-Pointers (-131)
Lakers vs. Nuggets
Nikola Jokic
Over 1.5 Three-Pointers (+182)
Nikola Jokic has hit this over in two of the four games in this series and in seven of his last 11 overall against the Lakers.
While Jokic can do it all for the Nuggets, he may need to step up his scoring focus in this game and the remainder of the series after Jamal Murray got hurt. His status for tonight and the rest of the series is up in the air.
If Murray is out, this means we'll see an increase in Jokic's shot attempts. It also means he may need to drift to the perimeter more to facilitate the hand-off game.
I've tracked Jokic's 3-point odds in each game of the series, and it's ranged in the +145 to +175 range.
To get +180 or so in a closeout game, I'll trust the MVP to bring us home.
Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 Three-Pointers (+182)
