The NBA returns with 10 games of NBA In-Season Tournament action for Black Friday. We begin in Memphis where the Suns will be visiting the Grizzlies. Devin Booker will look to help them continue their winning streak.
The Pacers are putting up points at will right now and they may continue against the Pistons. That may lead to more assists for Tyrese Halliburton.
Victor Wembanyama’s first trip to San Francisco was very memorable, although it was just a preseason game. The Spurs are back in the Bay Area tonight and he may take advantage of the Warriors on the glass.
Let's dive into my top NBA player prop bets tonight, featuring three overs I'm locking in now.
Devin Booker Over 33.5 PTS + AST (-125)
5 p.m. ET | NBA TV
When Kevin Durant and Devin Booker share the floor, the Suns are 6-1 this season. Booker is averaging 28.1 points and 9.3 assists for 37.4 combined. He has had 34 PA in all seven games that he has played this season.
Now, when you are backing a Booker points prop, there is always the possibility that he goes over or comes close with just his scoring. Booker has three 30-point games this season already. Booker missed all the games against the Grizzlies last year because of injuries. However, dating back to 2017, he has scored 30 points or more in seven of his last 14 games against the Grizzlies.
Booker has also taken well to his new role as the Suns' primary facilitator. He has at least eight assists in five of his first seven games this season, including three games with double digits. Five of his teammates are averaging double digits in scoring. The Suns are also shooting 39.3% from three this season, many of them are wide open because of the attention that he and Durant command.
There are multiple paths for Booker to hit this over. Whether he has 25 points and 9-10 assists or 30 points and five assists, I like his chances of hitting this line for the eight straight game.
Tyrese Haliburton Over 16.5 REB + AST (-110)
8 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Tyrese Haliburton is one of my favorite players to back. However, naturally when I see someone's assists lines at 12.5 it just feels too high, but not for Haliburton this season. Haliburton already has 10 double digit assists games already, including eight with 13 or more. Several times this season, he has had 10 assists at halftime.
Haliburton is also averaging four rebounds per game this season. Surprisingly, he has eight rebounds over the last two games despite the Pacers allowing 284 points. Indiana's defensive numbers may be able to recover a little against the Pistons tonight. They have lost 12 games in a row and are 27th in points per game.
Detroit is also allowing 115.9 points per game and it may give up another big number tonight. The Pacers lead the NBA in points per game (128.3), offensive rating, and pace. That has led to more assists opportunities for Haliburton this season. He has dished 15 assists or more in four of his last five games.
If Haliburton has 15 assists again tonight, he will need just two rebounds to hit this line. He has had 17 RA in five of his past seven games, including 16 in another one. Haliburton is in another prime spot tonight.
Victor Wembanyama Over 9.5 Rebounds (-110)
10 p.m. ET | ESPN
Unlike Booker and Haliburton, Victor Wembanyama has not consistently this line at a high clip. However, he also is not far often either. Wembanyama is averaging 9.5 rebounds per game this season. He has hit this line in seven of 15 games this season. However, he has been hooked on nine rebounds four times already.
So if there is a 70% chance that Wembanyama has nine rebounds, I like his chances of finding another one against Golden State. The Warriors are allowing the 11th most rebounds per game this season. They have already allowed 10 or more to Jusuf Nurkic, Kevin Durant, Evan Mobley, Domantas Sabonis, Rudy Gobert, and Chet Holmgren. Outside of Stephen Curry, the Warriors have struggled shooting the ball. That has led to more rebounding opportunities for their opponents.
Wembanyama could be the next big man to take advantage. He is averaging 10.8 rebounds over his past six games and went over this line in four of them. In three of those games, he had 13, 14, and 15 rebounds. There is value if that continues tonight. You can also take Wembanyama for 12 rebounds at +215 on DraftKings and 14 at +470 on FanDuel.
