There are seven games on the NBA schedule tonight, with plenty of value in the NBA player props betting markets. In the table below, you will find my top two NBA prop picks for Saturday, March 9, including over bets for Jusuf Nurkic and Immanuel Quickley.
Both Nurkic and Quickley have been extremely impressive lately, so let's break down how I am targeting these two players tonight.
NBA Player Props | NBA Prop Picks for Saturday, March 9
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 8:30 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
In his first season with the Phoenix Suns, center Jusuf Nurkic is averaging a double-double with 11.7 points and 10.8 rebounds per game. Playing alongside elite offensive players Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, and Bradley Beal, Nurkic has seen his usage rate and scoring take a massive decline. However, he has been a monster on the glass recently.
Over his last six games, Nurkic is averaging an incredible 17 rebounds per game and has recorded at least 11 in all but one of those contests. Last Sunday he hauled down a career-high and franchise-record 31 rebounds against the Thunder. He gobbled up 25 rebounds the previous Sunday in a matchup against the Lakers. When the Suns are fully healthy, Nurkic's role is to clean up the glass and let the sharpshooters take care of the offensive side of the floor.
The Celtics have been one of the best rebounding teams in the league ranking fourth in rebounding percentage at 51.8%. However, they have given up 43.6 rebounds per game to opponents, which ranks in the middle of the pack. Given how dominant Nurkic has been on the glass recently, it is hard to see him come up short in any matchup.
Our prop model has Nurkic projected to capture 13.7 rebounds tonight, which is well above his 10.5 prop line on FanDuel. Feel free to climb the ladder with this player prop and take a sprinkle at Nurkic to record 15+ rebounds at +300. His home/road rebound splits are also something to keep in mind. Nurkic has averaged 11.6 rebounds per game at home this season, compared to 9.8 on the road. Expect a big game on the glass from Nurkic.
Pick: Jusuf Nurkic Over 10.5 Rebounds (-128 via FanDuel)
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Since joining the Toronto Raptors midway through the season, Immanuel Quickley has excelled in his role of starting point guard. He has started all 28 games for the Raptors, while averaging a career-high 17.5 points, 6.5 assists, and 4.5 rebounds per game. The lightning-quick point guard has been dropping dimes with Scottie Barnes out of the lineup.
In his three games played without Barnes, Quickley is averaging a double-double with 20 points and 12 assists per game. With Barnes out for the foreseeable future, expect the Raptors offense to run through Quickley's playmaking.
Over the last five games, Quickley is averaging 11.2 assists per game. He is coming off a career-high 18 assists against the Suns on Thursday night. Our prop model has Quickley projected to capture exactly nine assists in this matchup against the pitiful Trail Blazers tonight. That is comfortably above his 7.5 assists line on the FanDuel sportsbook.
The Trail Blazers rank 21st in defensive rating and 20th in assists allowed at 27.3 per game. The Raptors are 2.5-point road favorites, implied for 114.75 points. Since the acquisition of Quickley at the beginning of January, the Raptors have been playing at the 11th-fastest pace in the league with the fourth-highest assist percentage at 67.6%.
Similar to the Nurkic prop, Quickley provides value in his alternative assist line as well. Take a sprinkle at Quickley's over 10.5 assists at +295. He has captured at least 11 assists in three of his last four games and has averaged 16.8 potential assists per game during that time. This is a great spot for another ceiling performance for Quickley tonight.
Pick: Immanuel Quickley Over 7.5 Assists (-120 via FanDuel)
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