Last night was a close call for both of our NBA player props as we hit one and got hooked by the other. As we look for the sweep tonight, the NBA has a loaded nine-game slate this Sunday.
In the table below, you will find my top two NBA player prop picks and best bets for March 10, including plus-money picks for Domantas Sabonis and Josh Hart. Let's break down how I am targeting these two players tonight.
NBA Player Props Today
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 6 p.m. | |
| 7 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Leading the league with a career-high 13.5 rebounds per game, Domantas Sabonis has been a monster on the glass. He also leads the league with 22 triple-doubles. The versatile center has stuffed the stat sheet by averaging 20 points and a career-high 8.4 assists per game while shooting 61% from the field and 42% from deep.
Sabonis has captured 15 or more rebounds in each of his last four games, averaging 18.25 rebounds per game during that time. With a slate-high 133.5-point game total, expect plenty of rebound opportunities for Sabonis tonight against the Rockets. Since the All-Star Break, the Rockets rank third in the league in Pace. With an uptempo game environment, Sabonis should soar over this line.
Our prop model has Sabonis projected to bring down 17.1 rebounds in this matchup, which is well over his prop line. He is averaging 22.3 Potential Rebounds per game this season, and that should increase in this spot tonight. The Kings are 6.5-point home favorites, and for what it is worth, Sabonis does average more rebounds per game at home.
The Rockets are allowing opponents to grab 45 rebounds per game, which is the seventh-highest total in the league. In his two matchups against the Rockets very early in the season, Sabonis cleared this prop line in one of those two games. If you want more Sabonis props, take a look at his over 16.5 rebounds at +205 or his to record a triple-double line at +155. This is another great spot for Sabonis.
Pick: Domantas Sabonis Over 14.5 Rebounds (+105 via DraftKings)
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Arguably the best NBA player prop on this nine-game slate is Josh Hart to record five or more assists at +110 at DraftKings. Our prop model has Hart projected to record 5.7 assists tonight, which is over one more assist than his prop line. The Knicks are 7.5-point favorites against the 76ers, and Hart has been on a tear recently.
Hart has captured five or more assists in six of his last seven games, while averaging 6.3 assists per game over the time. With Julius Randle and OG Anunoby still out, the Knicks are relying on Hart to pick up peripheral statistics. Since Randle and Anunoby have been out of the lineup, Hart is averaging 5.8 rebounds per game over his last 17 games. During that run, Hart has captured double-digit assists in three games and even recorded a triple-double last Sunday.
The 76ers are still playing without two starters of their own in Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey. With just Embiid off the floor this season, the 76ers Defensive Rating drops to 120.1, and their Rebounding Percentage drops to 47.3%. They are a completely different team without the reigning MVP and the front-runner for the Most Improved Player award.
Similar to Sabonis, getting more exposure to Hart and his assists is rather easy. Feel free to climb the ladder up to 8+ assists at +425 or even take a sprinkle of Hart recorded a triple-double at +2500. Hart has been a rebounding machine as well with Randle and Anunoby out. The versatile forward has been putting up a plethora of stats lately.
Pick: Josh Hart Over 4.5 Assists (+110 via DraftKings)
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