There are nine games on the NBA schedule tonight, with plenty of value in the betting market via props.
Read below for our top three NBA player props for Sunday, April 7 featuring picks and predictions for Immanuel Quickley, Josh Hart and Mike Conley.
NBA Player Props for Sunday, April 7
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 6 p.m. | |
| 7 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
After 15 consecutive losses, the Toronto Raptors finally got back in the win column. Shockingly, it came on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks 117-111. The Raptors are finally getting a few healthy players back in the rotation with Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., and RJ Barrett. The former is who we will be targeting in tonight's matchup.
There is no doubt that Quickley has been incredible since joining the Raptors. He is averaging a career-high across the board with 17.9 points, 6.6 assists, and 4.7 rebounds per game.
However, capturing eight or more assists is a tall task, even in this matchup against the Wizards. Quickley is returning from a six-game absence not long ago. He was one assist shy of a triple-double last game, but had three and six assists in his two previous games since coming back.
The Raptors are 4.5-point home favorites against the Wizards, implied for 117.5 points. Since the All-Star Break the Wizards have been a little better defensively, but still are well below average.
This is a great matchup for Quickley, but this is one of the best player props to target in the Prop Model tonight. Quickley is only projected for 5.9 assists tonight which is well below his 7.5 assist prop line. I will gladly take the under when his average is only 6.6 per game.
Scottie Barnes and Jakob Poeltl remain out, while Trent Jr. is questionable with an illness. Quickley may be forced into being a score-first point guard tonight, which is ideal for this player prop. Take the under on assists in this spot.
Pick: Immanuel Quickley Under 7.5 Assists (-115)
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The New York Knicks have a great opportunity to climb the Eastern Conference standings in a road game against the Milwaukee Bucks tonight. They are only four-point road underdogs as each of their previous three matchups have gone well over the points total. In their last three games, the average total points scored has been 253.3 per game.
With Julius Randle out for the year and Bojan Bogdanovic questionable to play tonight, that will boost the outlook for forward Josh Hart. Hart's ejection last game was one of the main reasons the Knicks lost on the road to the Bulls. He got tossed after only playing 11 minutes, so he should be well-rested for this matchup tonight. Hart has been incredible with Randle out of the lineup. He is averaging an 11.7-point and 10.5 rebound double-double without him.
Hart's prop line of 8.5 rebounds is simply way too low for how he has played without Randle in the lineup. Our Prop Model has Hart projected for 11 rebounds tonight. Other sportsbooks have Hart's line at 9.5 rebounds and I would still take the over. In fact, taking Hart to record a double-double at +135 on DraftKings is another great bet tonight.
The Bucks rank 17th in rebounding percentage this season at 49.9%, while the Knicks lead the league at 52.7%. One of the best part about getting exposure to Josh Hart is his playing time. He is averaging over 40 points per game without Randle this season and has played 42 or more minutes in each of his last four games before his ejection.
Pick: Josh Hart Over 8.5 Rebounds (-145)
Last, but not least the player who is popping in our prop model the most from a value perspective is Timberwolves' point guard Mike Conley. It is not for his scoring and facilitating, but capturing steals. Conley's projected to record 2.4 steals against the Lakers tonight, which is nearly one full steal over his 1.5 prop line. The best part is the juice attached to Conley's player prop. Getting Conley to capture over two steals tonight is juiced to +120 on DraftKings.
The Timberwolves are in the thick of the playoff seeding race in the Western Conference. They are a half-game back of the Nuggets for the top overall seed with five games remaining. The Timberwolves are two-point road underdogs against the Lakers who are trying to avoid the play-in tournament games. Expect an intense game at Staples Center.
Karl-Anthony Towns could be back before the end of the regular season, but is still out tonight. That has boosted the production for Conley, even on the defensive end. In the 16 games that Conley has played without Towns this season, he is averaging 1.5 steals per game compared to just 1.0 per game with Towns. Conley has recorded at least two steals in four of his last six games and at least three in three of six. He has been fantastic on the defensive end of the court.
The Lakers come into tonight's game ranking in the top 10 in turnovers per game. They are allowing opponents to get 8.2 steals per night, which is tied for the sixth-highest in the league. Given the matchup and how well Conley has been at capturing steals recently, I will gladly take the plus-money for him to record at least two steals in this spot.
Pick: Mike Conley Over 1.5 Steals (+120)
