Tonight, we'll be looking to bounce back after a rough one yesterday, particularly Immanuel Quickley having an assist taken away and a Raptors blowout leading to him finishing at seven. Hopefully some of you caught 6.5.
Either way, today is a new day full of new opportunities for NBA props, and for two of our NBA player props, we'll be heading to Los Angeles as the Lakers host the Kings.
With a total of 237 points, you can expect some of them to be scored by De'Aaron Fox, particularly after the Kings let one slip away against the Bulls on Monday. Austin Reaves will contribute as well, but he will also set up his teammates.
However, first, we will begin or NBA prop picks tonight in the nation's capital, where Wendell Carter Jr. and the Magic will look to extend the Wizards' losing streak.
Let's dive into my top NBA player props for Wednesday, March 6.
NBA Player Props Today | NBA Prop Picks for Thursday
In the table below, you'll find each of our NBA staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7 p.m. | |
| 10:30 p.m. | |
| 10:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Magic vs. Wizards
Wendell Carter Jr.
Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds
Carter has averaged 12.5 points per game over his last 10 games. Included in that stretch are a couple of outbursts in which he hit this line on just points or came close with 22, 19 and 18.
Those games came against the Thunder, Hawks and Pistons.
The Thunder are undersized on the interior, while the Hawks and Pistons struggle defensively in general. Well, the Wizards fit into both categories.
The Wizards rank 30th in points and rebounds allowed overall, and over the last 15 games, they're 27th in points allowed and 28th in rebounds allowed to centers.
Tonight, they'll also be without Marvin Bagley III. While no one will confuse Bagley for Rudy Gobert, Washington will be even smaller tonight, which is a bad recipe against this Orlando team tonight.
Carter has also pulled down seven rebounds in five of his last six games. That includes two games with 10, giving him two double-doubles in that stretch.
He has hit this line in four of his past six games, easily clearing with games of 27 and 28 PR in two of them. With an advantageous matchup, he should continue that trend tonight.
Pick: Wendell Carter Jr. Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)
Kings vs. Lakers
De'Aaron Fox
Over 26.5 Points
In Monday's loss to the Bulls, De'Aaron Fox had an efficient night, going 8-for-16 from the field but scoring just 20 points.
He entered that game hitting this line in his previous five games with three 30-point showings in that stretch. He's now averaging 29.6 points per game over his past six games.
Fox comes into tonight essentially averaging 30 points of late and now gets a Lakers team that he's averaging 30.7 points per game against in the last six meetings, including the first two this season.
We backed him in the last matchup to cash an over of 27.5 points, and he finished with 28 points. Tonight, we have a more favorable line.
The Lakers rank 21st in points allowed per game to point guards. They've also been vulnerable against the long ball this season, ranking 28th in 3s allowed per game. Fox has made three triples in each of the first two meetings this season and has knocked down two in seven of his past 10 games.
However, his speed and ability to get downhill is what makes him such a difficult matchup for the Lakers. It's helped him score 30 points in four of his last six games against the Lakers, including one game with 37.
At FanDuel, he's +155 to score 30 points and +400 to score 35 tonight.
Pick: De'Aaron Fox Over 26.5 Points (-113)
Austin Reaves
Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists
On the other side, Austin Reaves will be hoping for misses from the rest of the Kings.
He's averaging 4.6 rebounds over his last 10 games, and his rebounding line tonight sits at 3.5. He has covered that number in seven of his past 10 games. In that span, he had six rebounds or more four times. Plus, he posted an 11-rebound performance in his last meeting against the Kings.
If Reaves reaches 10 rebounds tonight, that would obviously be great. He'd clear this line without an assist. But the Kings still rank 22nd in assists allowed overall and 26th in assists allowed to shooting guards.
Reaves has had at least four assists in each of his last 10 games and is averaging 6.4 over that stretch. He's coming off consecutive games of 14 and seven assists, and he had eight in his last meeting against Sacramento.
The Lakers rank second in offensive rating over their past 15 games, which has helped Reaves pile up assists — and passing to LeBron James and Anthony Davis doesn't hurt.
That's helped Reaves hit the over on this line in seven of his past 10 games while averaging 11 rebounds and assists during that span.
Tonight, we'll only need 10 even though he had 19 in his last meeting against the Kings. I have to back him in a favorable spot tonight.
Pick: Austin Reaves Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-120)
