NBA Player Prop Pick
In the table below, you'll find each of our NBA staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Prop | Desmond Bane U37.5 PRA (-120) |
| Matchup | Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets |
| Time | 8 p.m. ET |
| Best Book | DraftKings |
Grizzlies vs. Rockets
Desmond Bane
U37.5 PRA (-120)
By Prop Bomb
With a month of play early into the season, no team is catching the injury bug as bad as the Grizzlies are. As the team waits for Ja Morant, this leaves Desmond Bane as the unquestioned alpha of this offense alongside Jaren Jackson Jr. anchoring the defense.
Last game, it took Bane seven made three-pointers to clear this at home vs Boston, but I still believe his points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) line remains too high in a tough matchup against the Rockets.
Bane is averaging 34.4 PRA on the road and cleared this line in five of the seven times. Zooming out to the five games in total he went over this (POR, UTA, NOP, & DAL), four of the five teams rank in the top ten in points in the paint allowed – which accounts for 47% of Bane’s total field goals made this season.
The Rockets are a brutal matchup for Bane because of how dominant they’ve been on the defensive front at home under new head coach Ime Udokah. Between Dillon Brooks (his primary defender), Jae’Sean Tate, and Jeff Green, Houston can throw a lot of plus-rated defenders toward Bane.
Plus, at Toyota Center, the Rockets own the fifth-best defensive rating and opposing field goal percentage, permit the fewest fastbreak and total assists allowed, and are slowing down the pace at the third-lowest rate in the league – all of which translates to allowing the third lowest points per game (101.4) against opposing teams.
It’s a tough matchup for Bane, who’d likely need an efficient game, which will be hard after what Ime Udokah schemed against him. Despite his added volume and usage, I have difficulty seeing Bane collect enough stats to surpass his 37.5 PRA prop tonight.
