NBA Player Prop Pick
Below you'll find Prop Bomb's top NBA player prop pick from Hornets vs. Nets on Thursday, November 30 highlighting Charlotte rookie Brandon Miller.
| Prop | Brandon Miller Over 14.5 Points (-125) |
| Matchup | Charlotte Hornets vs. Brooklyn Nets |
| Time | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| Best Book | ESPN Bet |
Hornets vs. Nets
Brandon Miller
Over 14.5 Points (-125)
The Charlotte Hornets have suffered a significant loss with LaMelo Ball out of the starting lineup due to injury, and it expects to be a lengthy absence. In his place, the second-overall pick will be back in the first unit and will need to take on more responsibility in the offense.
Before his number catches up, there is good value in placing a bet on Brandon Miller's total for tonight's game.
Miller is averaging 14.4 points per game this season, but his first game without LaMelo should promise an increase in his role. Miller logged a season-high 18 field goal attempts and saw a usage rate of 25.5%, his third-highest in the season.
On the season, in games where Miller sees a usage rate of greater than 21%, he averages 19.4 points per game, eclipsing at least 17 or more points in four of the five games. According to RotoGrinder's CourtIQ, in the 121-minute sample size with Rozier playing but LaMelo off the court, Miller sees the highest usage rating increase (+5.1%), attempts (+2.9%), and averages 18.1 points per 32 minutes.
And tonight, he gets a matchup against the Nets, a team he scored 22 points on exactly a month ago. Last meeting, Mikal Bridges was assigned to defend Terry Rozier to make the matchup easier for Miller, as Rozier is the primary point of attack. With Cam Thomas set to return, I expect a faster-paced matchup, with most points all around.
Someone on the Hornets will need to absorb LaMelo's tenth-highest ranked 19.87 field goal attempt average, and with Miller's added volume and usage, I see it more likely than not that he sees enough opportunities to surpass his prop tonight.
Pick: Brandon Miller Over 14.5 Points (-125)
