NBA First Basket will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day here, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.
NBA First Basket Prop Pick: Jakob Poeltl, Pascal Siakam
| Odds | Poeltl (+750) I Siakam (+330) |
| Time | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| Book | FanDuel |
The Indiana Pacers travel north to take on the Toronto Raptors Wednesday night. Myles Turner (33% opening tip win rate) will square off against Jakob Poeltl (47% win rate) on the opening tip-off. Poeltl has won his only tip against Turner over the past two seasons and I expect Toronto to control the tip on Wednesday.
The Raptors have performed well in early possessions this season, scoring first in 58% of games. The Pacers on the other hand, have scored first in only 35% of games.
In two matchups this season, Gary Trent and Pascal Siakam have each cashed a first basket bet via free throws against the Pacers. Myles Turner scored first for the Pacers in each game.
The Pacers allow first baskets most frequently to centers, power forwards and small forwards. Scottie Barnes is questionable for this game with an injury.
Siakam and O.G. Anunoby each take the first shot in about 31% of games started, but Siakam is much more effective, scoring the first team field goal in 40% of games started and cashing a first basket ticket in 23% of games.
Given the trends and tendencies of both teams, I'll take Poeltl and pair him with Siakam tonight. Free throw options are important here, so I would play this on FanDuel or possibly Caesars since free throws are included.
Pick: Poeltl +850 — Play down to +650 (0.4 units) |
Pick: Siakam +350 — Play down to +300 (0.7 units) |
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Pacers vs. Raptors First Basket Prop Data
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