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NBA First Basket Prop Pick: Ja Morant, Steven Adams
Odds | Morant (+420) I Adams (+1100) |
Time | 10 p.m. ET |
Book | FanDuel |
The Memphis Grizzlies will head West to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday night, which starts a five-game road trip for the streaking Grizz. Memphis is the hottest team in the NBA right now with an 11-game win streak.
Steven Adams (75% opening-tip win rate) will be jumping at center against Thomas Bryant (74% win rate). Adams won the only opening tip against Bryant last season, and the two teams have not yet played this season. I give the Grizzlies a slight edge on the tip-off tonight.
Memphis has scored first a league-leading 73% of the time this season while the Lakers have scored first in 58% of their games. The Lakers have given up the first opposing basket to the center or power forward in 58% of their games this season and in 75% of their past 20 games.
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The Grizzlies are a tough team to bet on for first baskets as they distribute the ball well on opening possessions. Dillon Brooks takes the first shot most often (38% of games started), but only makes the first basket in 10% of games started.
Looking at this game and matchup, I like Ja Morant and Steven Adams. Morant is the has the next highest attempt rate at 22% and he'll most likely have the ball in his hands if the Grizzlies win the opening tip. Adams doesn't shoot first much, but he is a good rebounder and against an undersized Lakers team he could easily get a putback.
Pick: Ja Morant +420 — down to +350, 0.7 units |
Pick: Steven Adams +1100 — down to +800, 0.3 units |
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks First Basket Prop Data
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