Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 6, 2025

Gonna go ahead and lay the juice. Simons out and Avdija out too so more scoring opportunities for him. Plus he’s hit this line in 9/10 games

Portland’s offense clicking: 113.3 PPG last 3 at home, +10.8 2nd-chance PPG edge. Spurs 1-6 last 7, 5-12 ATS last 17 road. Clingan dominating boards, huge X-factor. Spurs defense collapsing: 121.0 PPG allowed last 5, 48.1% FG, 38.4% from deep. Opponents grabbing 48.2 RPG — Portland averages 13.1 offensive boards at home. San Antonio’s bench shrinking — just 31.3% of points lately, major drop from early season. Portland forcing more ball movement — 1.96 AST/TO, only 5 TOs vs CHI. Spurs bottom-5 in AST/FGM, 116.6 PPG allowed. Blazers 13-5 ATS last 18 at home, chasing the play-in. San Antonio nearly eliminated — motivation gap too wide to ignore.

The Rookie of the Year frontrunner has been absolutely cooking of late with near misses on a Triple Double against tough competition. He’s even expressed a desire to record one before the end of the season so it’s worth betting on that motivation. Castle has recorded 24, and 20 RA over his last 2 games on an absurd 33 RA chances per game. The Spurs are giving Castle massive run and Usage down the stretch and while this is a game both the Spurs and the Blazers are incentivized to lose as they are next to each other in the standings, the Spurs have continued to play teams tough down the stretch and prioritized growth of the current roster.

2.12% ev