Pistons vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - March 6, 2024

Pistons at Heat

12:30 am • BSSUN
110 - 118

Pistons at Heat Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pistons
7-10
+10
+11-110
o218-110
+460
Heat
6-7
u222.5
-11-110
u218-110
-625
location pinWednesday 12:30 a.m.
March 06, 2024
Kaseya CenterMiami
Pistons vs. Heat Expert Picks
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
261d ago
Last 30d: 85-83-3 (+35.3u)
J.Butler o10.5 Rebs+Ast-128
0.78u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
262d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
J.Duren Double-Double (Yes)-115
0.22u
J.Duren o12.5 Rebs+Ast-115
0.87u
The Pistons take on the Miami Heat tonight in what is on paper a tough matchup for Duren against Bam Adebayo. Whoever, due to Bam’s versatility he’s often found outside of the paint which gives Duren the opportunity to clean up the glass. In their prior meeting this season, Duren grabbed 14 rebounds and contributed 4 assists as well. While there are some concerns with playing alongside Isaiah Stewart, Duren has still eclipsed this 12.5 RA line in 64% of games with him while averaging 14.4 RA. This is a nice opportunity as a buy low off of a pair of brutal matchups against the Cavaliers and the Magic. On the season, Duren is averaging the 11.8 rebounds on 19.1 chances to go along with 2.6 assists on 4 potentials per game. In a matchup where he may have difficulty scoring, he can set up some of Detroit’s shooting threats to rack up the dimes and in the prior matchup against Miami he tallied 4 assists on 8 potentials. I expect Duren to exceed 12.5 RA tonight.
Capper Central
Capper Central
262d ago
Last 30d: 74-70-0 (-9.4u)
MIA -11.5-105
$120.75

PRO Insights

Pistons logo

Pistons

DET Insights
  • Pistons logo The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 46% in close and late situations this season -- 10th-best in the NBA; the Heat have shot 43% (300/692) in close and late situations this season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.
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Heat logo

Heat

MIA Insights
  • Heat logo The Heat have averaged 13.0 turnovers per game this season -- T-9th-lowest in the NBA; the Pistons are 6-37 (.140) when they lose the turnover margin this season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Pistons vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages

60%

Bets%

40%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat
6-71-45-33-43-3
Pistons
9-7-14-45-3-12-47-3-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Heat
7-62-35-32-55-1
Pistons
6-114-42-72-44-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat
6-7N/AN/A4-32-4
Pistons
7-10N/AN/A3-34-7

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 2ndUTAW 126-120-9 LO 223.5MIA -390
Mar 1st@DENL 97-103+6.5 WU 214.5DEN +210
Feb 28th@PORW 106-96-7 WU 212.5MIA -290
Feb 27th@SACW 121-110+7.5 WO 224MIA +235
Feb 24th@NOPW 106-95+2 WU 220.5MIA +117

Pistons vs. Heat Injury Updates

Pistons Injuries

  • Ausar Thompson
    PF

    Thompson is out with illness

    Out

Heat Injuries

  • Josh Richardson
    PG

    Richardson is questionable with heel

    Questionable

  • Terry Rozier
    PG

    Terry Rozier (foot) out Monday.

    Out

  • Jaime Jaquez
    SG

    Jaquez is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

Player Stats
  • scoring
    Jimmy Butler logo
    Jimmy Butler
    26
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Bam Adebayo logo
    Bam Adebayo
    7
    rpg
  • assists
    Jimmy Butler logo
    Jimmy Butler
    8
    apg
  • shooting
    Nikola Jovic logo
    Nikola Jovic
    60
    fg%
Team Stats
39-89 (44%)
Field Goals
42-85 (49%)
20-22 (91%)
Free Throws
20-23 (87%)
12-42 (29%)
3P
14-31 (45%)
42
Rebounds
42
26
Assists
27
Turnovers
5
Steals
7
3
Blocks
5
16
Fouls
14

Pistons vs. Heat Odds Comparison

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Pistons at Heat Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Pistons
7-10
o102.5-117
u102.5-108
Heat
6-7
o114.5-115
u114.5-109