Heat vs. Pelicans Odds & Betting Predictions - February 24, 2024

Dabbling

89% hit rate without Ingram last 2 seasons averaging 4.1

Bam and the Heat face off against the Pelicans in New Orleans. While this is the second game of a back-to-back for New Orleans it's Miami's first game out of the All-Star Break so they should have a slight rest advantage. Despite the rest, this is a tougher spot for Bam Adebayo. The Heat are returning Jimmy Butler so even if Tyler Herro misses, they will have an influx of offense. This is a tougher spot for Bam given the size New Orleans has in their backcourt with Valanciunas, Zion, and Larry Nance. New Orleans limits shots at the rim and has the 6th-best Adjusted Defensive Rating as well. Couple this with the 10th-best Rebounding% and it will be difficult for Bam to rack up stats. Bam has hit this 31.5 PR line in 51% of games this season but it drops to 43% when playing alongside Jimmy Butler. For PRA the hit rate is just 44% on the season and 29% with Butler. I was debating both the PR and PRA lines but am settling on splitting my wager. I'm finding an edge on both PR and PRA but the Assists are a touch more narrow despite the hit rates.