Nets vs. 76ers Odds & Betting Predictions - February 3, 2024

Via @SBK5065

Inflated due to playing more min w/o Sharpe (34.4 MIN). Ben Simmons ACTIVE. Him and Nic will combine for 48 MIN. Avg. 25.6 PRA when playing between 27-33 MIN (10/13 games). Two misses he scored 20+ (+650 to happen). #PlayerProps

This is a terrifying under but I think this line is a touch inflated after his 51 point explosion against the Utah Jazz on Thursday night where he was 7/9 from 3 and had an absurd 1.59 points per shot attempt, his fourth-highest mark this season. The 76ers have relied on Tyrese Maxey without Joel Embiid and he has come through while averaging 27.8 points, 5.2 assists, and 3.3 rebounds per game in 10 games. That’s a PRA average of 36.3 and with his line set at 41.5, he’s exceeded that in just 3/10 this season and 4/22 over the last two seasons (albeit a few were with Harden). Tonight’s matchup against Brooklyn is not necessarily an easy one despite their struggles this season. Brooklyn has the 17th ranked Adjusted Defensive Rating which is fine but a key point is that they play slow. Brooklyn plays at the 22nd-fastest Pace in the league and they get their opponents stuck in the mud on both sides of the floor. This is in sharp contrast to the Utah Jazz who Maxey just shredded who play at the 9th-fastest Pace but really allow their opponents to get out in transition. The Nets have enough defensive options to throw Maxey off as well. Mikal Bridges should see time on Maxey and even Cameron Johnson or Ben Simmons (in a limited capacity) can help as well. Maxey can still have a solid game while going under this 41.5 prop.

Ok at u26.5. Under in 6/L9, and should lose minutes to Simmons today against a small Sixers squad. Averaging 24.7 PRA per 30 mins this season - I have him at 32 mins (conservatively) and 25 PRA.