Knicks vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - November 18, 2025
Knicks at Heat
12:30 am • FDSSUNKnicks at Heat Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Knicks 8-4 | -1.5 | +1-110 | o244.5-114 | -107 |
Heat 7-6 | u241.5 | -1-110 | u244.5-108 | -118 |

Kaseya CenterMiami
Knicks vs. Heat Expert Picks
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 55-43-1 (+2.5u)
J.Jaquez o6.5 Rebs-115
1u
L.Shamet o1.5 Ast-115
0.87u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 216-183-7 (+18.5u)
Over 242.5-110
1u
Link in Bio for early access
NYK +1.5-105
1u
Link in Bio for early access
Buckets Podcast
Last 30d: 82-101-2 (-10.5u)
Over 241.5-110
0.25u
@HPBasketball ⭐️ https://myaction.app/nTNyqPaBnYb
M.Robinson o8.5 Rebs-116
0.86u
@JoeDellera ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/nTNyqPaBnYb
K.Towns o3.5 Ast+101
1u
@TurveyBets ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/nTNyqPaBnYb
RocketPlays
Last 30d: 47-120-0 (-4.1u)
J.Jaquez o12.5 Rebs+Ast-115
1u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 101-118-8 (-5.4u)
J.Hart o8.5 Rebs-102
1.02u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 7-11-0 (-5.9u)
J.Jaquez o12.5 Rebs+Ast-111
1.11u
Jaquez Jr. has completely changed the way Miami has ran their offense and is the engine off the bench with a ridiculous 42.6% involvment rate over the last five games without Bam Adebayo. During this span, he is averaging 15.8 RA including 27 RA chances vs. CHA, 29 RA chances vs. POR, 34 RA chances vs CLE, 20 RA chances in the rematch, and 34 RA chances in the last NYK matchup. As mentioned with the Mitch Robinson analysis, I think Kel'el Ware and the Heat as a team do a better job in boxing out the center to where Jaime can see more rebounding upside and as for assists, Jaime has a 26.55 assist% (the 2nd highest) on the team without Adebayo. The Knicks' defense will be very weak tonight, losing OG Anunoby. #PlayerProps
M.Robinson u8.5 Rebs-119
1.19u
Robinson’s last performance is driving this number, but the film tells a very different story. He grabbed 8 offensive rebounds in just 14 minutes,and 3 of them came in one possession, a completely unsustainable sequence off Miami’s breakdowns without Bam. Even during his recent stretch of high OREB activity, because his role is narrow, his minutes fluctuate, and foul volatility is always a concern.
Tonight’s rematch should project much differently given the intentions and lessons learned from the previous one. Miami plays with a top-5 pace, and that tempo makes it harder for Robinson to stay on the floor due to conditioning, fouls, and transition responsibilities. New York often prefer smaller lineups in fast games, limiting Robinson to his typical 18–22 minute range, especially if his precense isn't effective in his time on the court.
The narrative also matters here, and it actually supports the under. **Udonis Haslem immediately texted Kel’el Ware after the game telling him to watch every rebound he gave up. Ware admitted he lost discipline and told Haslem, “it won’t happen again.**” This wasn’t Robinson overpowering him; it was Ware ball-watching and missing boxouts, which are fixable in one film session. Expect Miami to overcorrect: wings crashing down, stronger contact on the glass, and far fewer free-run opportunities. #PlayerProps
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 54-55-3 (+15.9u)
J.Clarkson o15.5 Pts-115
1u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 71-91-2 (-4.2u)
Over 241.5-110
0.11u
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 68-71-0 (+35.5u)
M.Bridges To Record 6+ Assists Yes-111
0.4u
K.Towns o3.5 Ast+105
0.5u
Buckets ep incoming with logic
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 56-67-4 (+2.9u)
M.Robinson To Record 13+ Rebounds Yes+870
0.05u
M.Robinson o7.5 Rebs-131
0.76u
Huddle got it first
M.Robinson To Record 10+ Rebounds Yes+205
0.51u
M.Robinson To Record 12+ Rebounds Yes+536
0.1u
Knicks vs. Heat Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Knicks vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Heat are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Heat' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Heat' 6 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Heat vs. Knicks Injury Updates

Heat Injuries
- Tyler HerroSG
Herro is out with ankle
Out

Knicks Injuries
- Mitchell RobinsonC
Robinson is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Player Stats
- scoring
Norman Powell19ppg - rebounding
Kel'el Ware14rpg - assists
Davion Mitchell5apg - shooting
Kel'el Ware77.8fg%
Team Stats
Knicks vs. Heat Odds Comparison
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Knicks at Heat Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Knicks 8-4 | N/A | N/A |
Heat 7-6 | N/A | N/A |




