Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - November 13, 2025

X: PicksOffice

⭐️ ⭐️: OK, there’s a trend that scares the bejesus out of me, so I want to say that up front. This is what’s called a Duplex spot. The Heat and Cavs played Monday, now they’re playing Wednesday again, in the same location. The results are pretty mid for teams in this spot overall since the NBA started implementing these in the schedule in 2021. But Miami in particular has been awful. As a home favorite facing a team they played less than three days ago and beat in the first matchup, Miami is 39.7% against the spread via KillerSports.com. This is essentially an “anti-South-Beach-flu” trend. Whether that has anything to do with the lines or not, it hasn’t been kind. However, that’s still 40 percent of the time the Heat have covered. So let’s talk about this season and this game: * The Cavaliers are resting Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley, and Darius Garland is out with injury. * The Heat are 5-0 SU and ATS at home. * I make this Heat -13.5 if we use in-season numbers with injury adjustment. * The Cavs did go 4-1 ATS without Mitchell and 3-2 without Mobley last season on the road. With both out, they went 1-0, but they were 10-point dogs in that game. This line is too heavily influenced by the preseason priors on Miami which had them as a below-.500 team. This game is trappy, I can’t deny it. This reeks of the usual “team without a bunch of players knocks off a team playing well.” But the number itself cannot be considered accurate in-season and is too heavily weighted to priors.

@BKPicks ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/iigHbh8IeYb

⭐️⭐️ @bucketsactionpodcast breakdown coming…