Heat vs. Hornets Odds & Betting Predictions - October 26, 2024

Heat at Hornets

11:00 pm • FDSSE

Miami Heat

13-13

114

114 - 106

Charlotte Hornets

7-21

106

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 13-13	-2	-6-110	o223-110	-242
Hornets 7-21	u221.5	+6-110	u223-108	+199

Saturday 11:00 p.m.

October 26, 2024

Spectrum CenterCharlotte

B.Adebayo Double-Double (Yes)-110

0.91u

Bam had 5 REB on 11 REB chances in a really bad blowout loss but this is the perfect bounce back spot - CHA allowed the 2nd most RPG to C last season and allowed Sengun to grab 18 and Capela/Onyeka to combine for 15 W/ everyone healthy last season, Bam AVG 17.0 REB chances and 62.6% success rate on those chances. Bam recorded a DD in 6/11 games LS w/ this new-look MIA lineup and 2/3 vs. the T10 in RPG to C - AVG 20.0 REB chances in those three games. He also had a DD in 2/2 vs. CHA last season and had 21 and 19 REB chances. He’s recorded a DD in 34/41 games (82.9%) when seeing 16+ REB chances

CHA +9.5-146

0.55u

4.26% ev

T.Rozier o15.5 Pts+104

1.04u

7.65% ev

N.Jović To Score 15+ Points Yes+550

0.25u

N.Jović To Score 10+ Points Yes+145

0.73u

MIA o114.5 Team Total-110

Squaring up with the Heat to bounce back

B.Adebayo o1.5 3pt M+700

0.15u

B.Adebayo o0.5 3pt M+145

0.5u

B.Adebayo o30.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105

B. Adebayo ⬆️ 30.5 PRA's (-106 @ Caesars) THE BOUNCE 📽️: 31.72 PRA Bam didn't even get half of this in his season debut, but you can't find a much better bounce back spot than against CHA. We didn't see a great big man game from ATL, but in CHA's season opener we saw Sengun go for 18 rebounds, 5 assists and 25 points. CHA was a great matchup last season for centers. They allowed the 3rd most points, 2nd most rebounds and 5th fewest assists. Why so few assists? Well, probably because they have no problem scoring under the rim. I like adding assists to this prop bc Bam can be a distributor at times and we are only paying for 3 assists on top of the PR's. He had 3+ assists in 72% of games last season. He has crushed this team last season and over his career. Last season he was over in 2 of 4 and in his L10 vs this team, he's cleared this mark in 8 of his L10. With a 5.5 spread this game could easily stay competitive too and if it gets out of hand Bam is probably a factor in it. Last season, Bam averaged 33.4 PRA's. He did average fewer PRA's with Herro and Butler, each of which missed time last season, but still averaged over this PRA mark. A nice spot for Bam to bounce back from a poor debut.

MIA -4.5-125

$800.00

B.Adebayo o9.5 Rebs-136

Under 221-110

0.25u

Featured Insight
The Heat allowed 106.6 points per game on the road last season -- best in the NBA; the Hornets averaged 108.1 points per game at home last season -- 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Hornets had a TS% of 53% in close and late situations last season -- best in the NBA; the Heat allowed a TS% of 51% in close and late situations last season -- T-8th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Hornets are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Hornets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Hornets are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Hornets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Hornets' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Hornets	14-13-1	7-7-1	7-6	0-2	14-11-1
Heat	11-15	6-7	5-8	7-9	4-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Hornets	11-16-1	5-9-1	6-7	2-0	9-16-1
Heat	15-11	7-6	8-5	8-8	7-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Hornets	7-21	N/A	N/A	1-1	6-20
Heat	13-13	N/A	N/A	10-6	3-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 25th	@ATL	L 120-125	+5.5 W	O 226.5	ATL +185
Oct 24th	@HOU	W 110-105	+8.5 W	U 230.5	CHA +275
Oct 17th	@IND	L 116-121	+5.5 W	O 235	IND +164
Oct 15th	@NYK	L 105-111	-3.5 L	U 218	NYK -148
Oct 11th	@MEM	W 119-94	+4.5 W	U 220.5	CHA +164