Bucks vs. Spurs Odds & Betting Predictions - January 5, 2024

Bucks at Spurs

12:30 am • TNT

Milwaukee Bucks

16-12

125

125 - 121

San Antonio Spurs

15-14

121

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bucks 16-12	-10.5	-11-110	o247.5-110	-575
Spurs 15-14	u250	+11-110	u247.5-115	+425

Friday 12:30 a.m.

January 05, 2024

Frost Bank CenterSan Antonio

Over 120 (1H)-110

SAS +11-110

B.Lopez o20.5 Pts+Rebs-104

1.04u

MIL -10.5-105

B.Portis o11.5 Pts-130

J.Champagnie o1.5 3pt M-125

0.5u

Via @SBK5065

J.Sochan u21.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

1.1u

Running this back. Averaging 20 PRA per game with Wemby, and is under in 7/L10. Whether Giannis plays or not, MIL protects the paint well, and should make Sochan’s life difficult around the bucket. Added edge for today - Tre Jones is starting, replacing Malaki Branham (a low usage player). Sochan’s PRA drops by 1.3 PRA per 28 mins with Tre on the court (and his usage drops by 1).

D.Vassell o19.5 Pts-118

0.42u

Wrote about this spot in my Player Props Forecast: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-prop-forecast-knicks-raptors-settlement-defensive-woes-in-milwaukee

J.Sochan u11.5 Pts-114

$50.00

Under this line in 10/L14 games. Under this line in 1 game vs MIL this season (9 pts). Sochan avg 8 FG attempts per game over L5, volume in a good spot to play under here.

SAS o118.5 Team Total-110

0.91u

Seeing 119.5 on offshores - trusting the Spurs offense

SAS +9.5-110

0.45u

Road B2B and 3rd game in 4 days for the Bucks Best Bets: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-best-bets-today-expert-picks-thursday-jan-4

Featured Insight
The Bucks are 12-2 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season -- T-2nd-best in the NBA; the Spurs have allowed 14.4 made three-pointers per game this season -- worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Spurs have averaged 54.6 points in the paint per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season -- 6th-highest in the NBA; the Bucks have allowed 53.4 points in the paint per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season -- T-7th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Spurs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Spurs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Spurs are 5-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Spurs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Spurs' 18 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Spurs	14-15	9-9	5-6	6-5	8-10
Bucks	13-15-1	6-8-1	7-7	8-11-1	5-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Spurs	15-13-1	9-9	6-4-1	8-3	7-10-1
Bucks	12-17	6-9	6-8	10-10	2-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Spurs	15-14	N/A	N/A	9-2	6-12
Bucks	16-12	N/A	N/A	14-6	3-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jan 3rd	@MEM	L 98-106	+11 W	U 236.5	MEM +450
Jan 1st	BOS	L 101-134	+14.5 L	U 241	BOS +750
Dec 30th	@POR	L 128-134	+4.5 L	O 234	POR +154
Dec 29th	@POR	W 118-105	+3 W	U 233	SAS +130
Dec 27th	UTA	L 118-130	+3 L	O 241.5	UTA +130