Yankees vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

Yankees at Rays

10:50 pm • YES

New York Yankees

56-45

2 - 0

Tampa Bay Rays

53-49

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bradley			4.11	8-11
C.Schmidt			2.85	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 56-45	-1.5+127	o8-117	-130
Rays 53-49	+1.5-155	u8-105	+110

Friday 10:50 p.m.

May 10, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB +105

NYY -125

0.8u

TB +105

0.75u

Under 8-102

0.5u

Bet to -105

TB +119

TB +128

0.5u

Bet to +115

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Featured Insight
Rays right-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against LHP over the last week -- tied for third lowest in MLB. Yankees RPs have a strikeout rate of just 14% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Yankees are 67-39 (.632) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .587.

Anthony Volpe has an OPS of just .685 since last season -- ninth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Shawn Armstrong has allowed an OPS of just .527 (282 PAs) since last season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

66% of Gleyber Torres fastball strikeouts are elevated since last season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 68% of Taj Bradley fastball strikeouts are elevated since last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season is 380.6 feet -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 398.3

The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt in the 2023 season was 382.5 feet -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

Taj Bradley has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.2 MPH since last season (290 balls in play) -- 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 26-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 23 of Rays' 58 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	49-53	23-35	26-18	20-31	28-21
Yankees	47-54	27-22	20-32	41-47	6-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	41-57-4	23-32-3	18-25-1	18-30-3	22-26-1
Yankees	44-54-3	19-30	25-24-3	38-49-1	6-5-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	53-49	31-27	22-22	30-21	22-27
Yankees	56-45	30-19	26-26	51-37	5-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 8th	CWS	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CWS -267
May 7th	CWS	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -270
May 6th	CWS	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TB -163
May 5th	NYM	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 7	TB -110
May 4th	NYM	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -110

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Lowe
2B
Lowe is out with ankle
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
LF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Jonny DeLuca
CF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RC.Schmidt, P	87	6.2	6
RN.Burdi, P	3	0.1	0
RL.Weaver, P	12	1	2
RC.Holmes, P	34	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	0-2	1	0	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	2-4	0	0	0
6A.Rizzo, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
7G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	2-4	0	0	0
9J.Berti, 3B	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	93	6	7	1
RK.Kelly, P	16	0.2	1	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	7	0.1	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	12	1	0	0
RS.Armstrong, P	17	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-3	0	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Lowe, RF	1-3	0	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5H.Ramirez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Shenton, PH	1-1	0	0	0
5J.Siri, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6J.DeLuca, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7R.Palacios, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Caballero, SS	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-3	0	0	0