White Sox vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - August 16, 2023

White Sox at Cubs

12:05 am • MARQ

Chicago White Sox

22-43

5 - 3

Chicago Cubs

40-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Hendricks			3.75	6-8
T.Toussaint			4.91	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
White Sox 22-43	+1.5-133	o8.5-115	+151
Cubs 40-24	-1.5+110	u8.5-105	-184

Wednesday 12:05 a.m.

August 16, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

C.Bellinger o0.5 RBI+115

0.5u

T.Toussaint u15.5 Outs-157

0.64u

T.Toussaint o2.5 Earned Runs-115

0.87u

DK/bet365 8:51.

T.Toussaint u5.5 Ks-116

0.86u

Available at FanDuel. Toussaint is coming off consecutive nine-strikeout games, so I get why this number is so high. But Toussaint didn't get a ton of whiffs in either game (9.2% and 10.4% swinging-strike rate), and he still issued a bunch of walks. The one thing he did do to boost expectations is rack up a big pitch count in both, so I've pushed his pitch count up accordingly. Even with that, I still have Toussaint projected for 5.29 strikeouts here, and given the way those are distributed (with big outings possible but with a lower median expectation), -116 on the under is more than fair. This is simply betting on regression after a pair of huge outings.

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Tuesday. Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 1.6 runs per game in late innings over the last week -- second-highest in MLB (125 games). The White Sox have allowed 1.5 runs per game in late innings over the last week -- fourth-highest in MLB (126 games).

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Featured Insight
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .670 over the last two weeks -- second-worst in MLB. CubsRPs have allowed an OPS of just .675 (1,941 PAs) over the last two weeks -- seventh-best in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 18-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Cubs' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	34-30	16-15	18-15	25-19	9-11
White Sox	38-27	21-12	17-15	N/A	38-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	34-26-4	17-12-2	17-14-2	22-19-3	12-7-1
White Sox	30-32-3	18-13-2	12-19-1	N/A	30-32-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	40-24	20-11	20-13	31-13	9-11
White Sox	22-43	16-17	6-26	N/A	22-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 13th	@TOR	L 4-11	-1.5 L	O 9	TOR -101
Aug 12th	@TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CHC -106
Aug 11th	@TOR	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +126
Aug 9th	@NYM	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	NYM -118
Aug 8th	@NYM	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -140

Ky Bush
SP
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
SP
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Toussaint, P	87	4	4	3
LT.Banks, P	13	1	0	0
RL. Ramsey, P	16	1	1	0
LA.Bummer, P	14	1.1	1	0
RG.Santos, P	16	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E. Andrus, SS	2-5	1	0	2
2A.Benintendi, LF	1-4	1	0	1
3L.Robert, CF	2-5	1	1	1
4E.Jimenez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5Y.Moncada, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
6A.Vaughn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	1-3	1	0	0
8O.Colas, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9Z.Remillard, 2B	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	98	6	4	3
RJ.Merryweather, P	21	1	2	1
RM.Leiter, P	15	1	2	0
RA.Alzolay, P	22	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	0-3	1	0	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-4	1	1	2
4C.Bellinger, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Morel, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8S.Suzuki, RF	1-4	1	1	1
9Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	0