Twins vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2024

Twins at Royals

12:10 am • Apple TV+

Minnesota Twins

19-20

0 - 5

Kansas City Royals

24-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Ragans			3.14	11-9
Z.Matthews			6.69	1-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 19-20	+1.5	+1.5-180	o7.5-111	+120
Royals 24-16	u7.5	-1.5+150	u7.5-109	-142

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

September 07, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Under 7.5-110

0.91u

.tsa umpire friendly unders Overall: 2127-1497-172,59% (ROI:13%) Season:58-48-3,55% (ROI:6%)

Over 7.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -105

KC o3.5 Team Total-130

C.Ragans u2.5 BB-150

0.67u

Fliff

Featured Insight
Twins right-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against LHP over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Royals have allowed just 1.9 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB (14 games). The Twins have scored just 1.4 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB (12 games).

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The Royals are just 13-22 (.371) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.

Carlos Santana is batting just .239 since last season -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- 14th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .197 (148-for-750) against Cole Ragans since last season -- fifth best among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .278 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Jhoan Duran has thrown his curveball 30% of the time since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 88th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 9-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Royals' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	22-18	13-8	9-10	10-7	11-11
Twins	22-17	14-5	8-12	15-11	7-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	13-26-1	7-14	6-12-1	6-11	7-14-1
Twins	13-23-3	6-12-1	7-11-2	9-15-2	4-8-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	24-16	16-5	8-11	13-4	10-12
Twins	19-20	13-6	6-14	14-12	5-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 4th	CLE	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -131
Sep 3rd	CLE	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE +114
Sep 2nd	CLE	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE -112
Sep 1st	@HOU	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU +135
Aug 31st	@HOU	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	HOU +107

Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Matthews, P	89	5	4	4
RR.Henriquez, P	13	2	1	0
LC.Thielbar, P	19	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
2R.Lewis, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Wallner, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5K.Farmer, SS	1-3	0	0	0
6A.Martin, CF	1-3	0	0	0
6A.Martin, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Larnach, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Lee, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Helman, CF	0-0	0	0	0
9E.Julien, 2B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LC.Ragans, P	95	6	7
RJ.McArthur, P	14	1	2
LS.Long, P	12	1	1
RJ.Schreiber, P	16	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, LF	2-4	0	0	1
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	1	0	0
3S.Perez, C	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Melendez, DH	1-4	1	0	0
5H.Renfroe, RF	2-4	0	0	2
5D.Blanco, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5D.Blanco, RF	0-0	1	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	3-3	1	1	1
6R.Grossman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6G.Hampson, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
7Y.Gurriel, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
8M.Garcia, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	0-2	1	0	0