Guardians vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024

Guardians at Royals

11:40 pm • BSKC

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

7 - 1

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Singer			3.71	9-13
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	-1.5+124	o8-115	-135
Royals 3-3	+1.5-149	u8-105	+114

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 03, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

J.Naylor o1.5 Total Bases+120

J. Naylor has been on fire his L5 games accumulating 11 hits, 4 doubles, & a HR resulting in this over hitting in all 5. He also has been hitting much better vs RHP (.260) opposed to LHP (.211). He will be seeing B. Singer for the majority of this game who is coming off of his worst month this season (5.53 ERA). He has struggled vs L’s consistently all season allowing a .302 BA & .865 OPS. KC bullpen is nothing special sitting at 26th on the year.

Under 8-108

.tsa Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams Overall: 391-263-27,60% (ROI:16%) Season:17-10-1,63% (ROI:22%) .tsa good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 328-227-18,59% (ROI:14%) Season:28-19-2,60% (ROI:15%)

Under 4.5 (F5)-130

T.Bibee u5.5 Ks-138

1.38u

Talked this through on VSIN

J.Naylor o0.5 HR+625

0.15u

Featured Insight
Guardians left-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against RHP since last season -- lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters since last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Royals left-handed hitters have struck out just 16% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB. Guardians RPs have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 27-10 (.730) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .639.

Adam Frazier has an OPS of just .567 this season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 204 total PA's-- third Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .412 (232 PAs) this season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .268 (124-for-463) against Brady Singer when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 -- sixth Percentile.

The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee since last season is 382.8 feet -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 57% of the time (399/705) with two-strikes this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 32% (75 SO in 234 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 92nd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 2nd	CLE	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE -112
Sep 1st	@HOU	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU +135
Aug 31st	@HOU	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	HOU +107
Aug 31st	@HOU	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	HOU +157
Aug 30th	@HOU	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 7.5	HOU +140

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	91	6	6	1
RN.Sandlin, P	14	1	0	0
RP.Avila, P	18	1	2	0
RS.Barlow, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-5	0	0	2
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Noel, PR	0-1	1	0	0
4J.Noel, 1B	0-1	1	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	2-5	2	0	0
6K.Manzardo, DH	3-4	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7L.Thomas, PH	0-1	1	0	0
7L.Thomas, CF	0-1	1	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	1	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-1	2	1	4

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Singer, P	99	5.2	3	2
LS.Long, P	25	1	0	2
LD.Lynch, P	1	0.1	0	0
RL.Erceg, P	27	0.2	2	3
RJ.McArthur, P	14	0.1	1	0
RC.Stratton, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Pham, RF	1-4	1	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-3	0	0
3M.Massey, DH	0-3	0	0
4S.Perez, 1B	1-3	0	0
5P.DeJong, 3B	0-3	0	1
6M.Melendez, LF	0-4	0	0
7F.Fermin, C	0-3	0	0
8M.Garcia, 2B	0-3	0	0
8A.Frazier, PH	0-0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	0-4	0	0