Twins vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2025

Twins at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Minnesota Twins

0-0

1 - 6

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			3.35	11-9
J.Ryan			3.42	13-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5	-1.5+156	o9-102	+100
Red Sox 1-2	u9	+1.5-184	u9-115	-120

Friday 11:10 p.m.

May 02, 2025

Fenway ParkBoston

MIN -102

1.02u

BOS -115

MIN +100

0.75u

B.Bello o4.5 Ks-105

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

B.Bello To Record 7+ Strikeouts Yes+430

0.2u

B.Bello To Record 6+ Strikeouts Yes+220

0.4u

B.Bello o4.5 Ks-105

Bello just misses Club 17 status (+16.6 Priority Score), but this is a strong buy-low spot. He’s averaging 3.5 Ks through two starts with a 14.6% K rate, but his expected K% is closer to 21%. He’s faced two teams that stacked lefties against him (just 23% RHB faced), which is key because he’s struck out righties at an 8% higher rate than lefties in his career. The Twins are rolling out 5 righties tonight. He’s also shifted his pitch mix, cutting sinker usage by 11% in favor of his four-seamer (40% whiff rate so far). The Twins struggle against all three of his primary offerings and Bill Miller (extremely pitcher-friendly) is behind the plate. I project -155 for the over, with fair odds around +140 for 6+ and +300 for 7+.

A.Bregman o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130

1.54u

BOS -109

BOS -110

0.91u

MIN -110

2.75u

R.Devers o0.5 HR+330

0.5u

Over 9+100

365

MIN +100

Over 9+105

0.5u

Bet to -115

Twins vs Red Sox: Value On Over/Under
Alex Kolodziej•
May 2, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Twins	78-84	37-44	41-40	36-51	40-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Twins	73-83-6	39-39-3	34-44-3	42-42-3	29-39-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Twins	70-92	38-43	32-49	41-46	28-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	@TOR	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR -113
Apr 30th	@TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TOR -110
Apr 29th	@TOR	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BOS -141
Apr 27th	@CLE	W 13-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BOS -120
Apr 26th	@CLE	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	BOS -121

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

Alan Roden
LF
Roden is out with thumb
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	92	6	8	1
RL.Varland, P	5	0.1	0	2
LD.Coulombe, P	18	0.2	1	0
RJ.Alcala, P	23	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Larnach, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Buxton, CF	2-4	0	0	0
3B.Lee, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Correa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6E.Julien, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7R.Jeffers, C	1-3	1	1	1
8M.Gasper, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Bride, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Bride, DH	0-1	0	0	0
9H.Bader, RF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	102	6.2	5	1
LJ.Wilson, P	2	0.1	0	0
RG.Weissert, P	14	1	3	0
RL.Hendriks, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	0	0	1
2R.Devers, DH	3-5	0	0	2
3A.Bregman, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
4W.Abreu, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5T.Story, SS	2-4	1	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6R.Gonzalez, PR	1-3	1	0	1
6R.Gonzalez, 1B	1-3	1	0	1
7C.Wong, C	1-4	1	0	0
8D.Hamilton, 2B	3-4	2	0	1
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0