Twins vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2025
Twins at Red Sox
11:10 pm • NESNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.23 | 9-6 | |
 |  | 2.77 | 12-6 |
Twins at Red Sox Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Twins 58-68 | -1.5 | -1.5+156 | o9-102 | +100 |
Red Sox 68-59 | u9 | +1.5-184 | u9-115 | -120 |
Fenway ParkBoston
Twins vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIN -102
1.02u
MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 2-0-0 (+2.0u)
BOS -115
1u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIN +100
0.75u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-2.0u)
B.Bello o4.5 Ks-105
0.5u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 9-15-1 (-2.5u)
B.Bello To Record 7+ Strikeouts Yes+430
0.2u
B.Bello To Record 6+ Strikeouts Yes+220
0.4u
B.Bello o4.5 Ks-105
1u
Bello just misses Club 17 status (+16.6 Priority Score), but this is a strong buy-low spot. He’s averaging 3.5 Ks through two starts with a 14.6% K rate, but his expected K% is closer to 21%. He’s faced two teams that stacked lefties against him (just 23% RHB faced), which is key because he’s struck out righties at an 8% higher rate than lefties in his career. The Twins are rolling out 5 righties tonight.
He’s also shifted his pitch mix, cutting sinker usage by 11% in favor of his four-seamer (40% whiff rate so far). The Twins struggle against all three of his primary offerings and Bill Miller (extremely pitcher-friendly) is behind the plate. I project -155 for the over, with fair odds around +140 for 6+ and +300 for 7+.
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 72-95-3 (-20.0u)
A.Bregman o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130
1.54u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.1u)
BOS -109
1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-4.0u)
MIN -110
2.75u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 32-99-2 (+14.4u)
R.Devers o0.5 HR+330
0.5u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 199-216-3 (-44.3u)
MIN +100
1u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 152-171-4 (-0.8u)
Over 9+105
0.5u
Bet to -115
Twins vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Twins vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Red Sox are 33-28 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 28 of Red Sox' 66 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Red Sox vs. Twins Injury Updates
Red Sox Injuries
- Tanner HouckSP
Houck is out with arm
Out
- Patrick SandovalSP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
- Kutter CrawfordSP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
- Jovani MoranRP
Moran is out with arm
Out
Twins Injuries
- Alan RodenLF
Roden is out with thumb
Out
Twins vs. Red Sox Box Score
Twins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 92 | 6 | 8 | 1 | |
 | 5 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | |
 | 18 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 102 | 6.2 | 5 | 1 | |
 | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Twins vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison
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Twins at Red Sox Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Twins 58-68 | o4.5+105 | u4.5-130 |
Red Sox 68-59 | o4.5+100 | u4.5-130 |