Twins vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 28, 2023

Twins at Braves

4:20 pm • MLB Network

Minnesota Twins

0-0

0 - 3

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Allard			6.57	0-1
K.Maeda			4.23	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	+1.5-145	o10-115	+135
Braves 0-2	-1.5+120	u10-105	-162

Wednesday 4:20 p.m.

June 28, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

MIN +140

Ah shit here we go again

Under 10.5-115

0.5u

Bet to 10 (-108)

M.Olson o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.91u

Book disparity, Maeda reckoning day - 401 ft out

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The Braves are 25-59 (.298) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .201.

Ronald Acuna is batting .298 on breaking pitches since last season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Griffin Jax has thrown his slider 55% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Austin Riley is slugging .550 on non-fastballs since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Griffin Jax has thrown off-speed pitches 66% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 22% (2/9) against Kenta Maeda -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% -- fifth Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has thrown off-speed pitches 70% of the time (35/50) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) -- 3rd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 49% -- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 27th	MIN	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -149
Jun 26th	MIN	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -227
Jun 25th	@CIN	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 11	ATL -220
Jun 24th	@CIN	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 12	ATL -138
Jun 23rd	@CIN	L 10-11	-1.5 L	O 11.5	CIN -152

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	82	5	4	2
LJ. Moran, P	36	2	3	0
RJ. Balazovic, P	18	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Solano, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
1E.Julien, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1E.Julien, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2B.Buxton, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Farmer, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Castro, LF	2-3	0	0	0
5W.Castro, CF	2-3	0	0	0
6A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Vazquez, C	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Kepler, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Kepler, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Gallo, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Gallo, LF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LK.Allard, P	71	4.2	8
RK.Yates, P	25	1.1	3
LA.Minter, P	13	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	18	1	1
RR.Iglesias, P	10	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-2	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	0	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	2-3	1	0	0