Twins vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2025

@TheDegenWeekly

#BQ

Twins offense ice cold – ranks dead last in MLB in road AVG (.191), just 3.0 runs/game away. Braves pen rock solid – 3.49 ERA, 1.18 WHIP. Holmes solid vs righties, limits HRs (only 2 allowed). Ryan dialed in – 0.77 WHIP, 23 Ks, 2 BB in 22 IP. Joe Ryan in ace form – 2.45 ERA, 0.71 WHIP last 3 starts. Braves hit just .228 overall, even with home boost. Twins bullpen trending up – 3.38 ERA, 1.22 WHIP from key relievers available. Holmes doesn't need to dominate – Twins hitting .213 overall, OBP just .283. Unders trending hard – 9-2 in Twins' last 11 as dogs, 7-2 after losses. Braves: under 39-14-1 last 54 at home. H2H history backs it – 6 of last 8 matchups under the total. Everything screams quiet scoreboard today.

If this loses I will double down full game

Braves won 10 straight vs Minnesota? Time to zig. Joe Ryan is locked in – 2.45 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, only 3 walks in 22 IP. Braves’ Holmes solid last outing, but hadn’t made it past 4 IP all season until then. Ryan gives Twins a legit edge on the mound, even in Atlanta. Twins’ offense showing signs: Buxton 3-for-4 yesterday, Correa .429 this series. Key bats like Julien, Jeffers post high hard-hit rates. Ryan and the rested pen (Duran, Coulombe) can shut it down. Braves 1-7 after wins – clear letdown spot. Twins bullpen fresh, Braves used key arms Sat. Ryan’s limiting hard contact, hasn’t allowed more than 1 ER in 3 of 4 starts. Minnesota better than record shows when he’s pitching.