Tigers vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 28, 2023

Tigers at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Detroit Tigers

5-9

5 - 6

Miami Marlins

8-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 5-9	N/A	N/A	N/A
Marlins 8-6	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 10:40 p.m.

July 28, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

B.Garrett u1.5 BB-170

$0.59

R.Olson u1.5 BB+100

$1.00

MIA -161

$0.62

B.Garrett o5.5 Ks-120

0.83u

DET +125

DET o3.5+105

1.05u

Over 7-120

0.5u

Over 7-120

0.5u

Bet to -122 or 7.5 (-104)

DET +130 (F5)

0.5u

Need +130

DET +125 (F5)

0.5u

DET +133

0.5u

DET +130

0.5u

Both SPs have a 4.63 xERA w/ Garrett's overall estimators less than 1/5 run better than Olson - MIA 91 wRC+ v RHP/DET 93 v LHP - DET def 14 Runs Prevented better - MIA pen estimators 3/4 run better L30 days, but like the full game price better than F5 when the pen is their only substantial edge.

DET +140

0.5u

Bet to +133

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The Tigers are just 7-22 (.241) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .431.

Jake Rogers has struck out in 34% of PA's this season -- 14th highest among hitters with at least 150 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Tanner Scott has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Nick Fortes has an OPS of just .547 this season -- eighth worst among hitters with at least 150 total PA's-- second Percentile. Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .526 (204 PAs) this season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 43% (62/144) against Reese Olson on sliders this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 32% -- 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .150 (9-for-60) against Reese Olson on sliders this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .229 -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 1-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Marlins' 10 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	5-9	4-6	1-3	4-6	1-3
Tigers	5-9	3-1	2-8	4-5	1-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	9-5	6-4	3-1	6-4	3-1
Tigers	6-7-1	1-2-1	5-5	3-5-1	2-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	8-6	7-3	1-3	7-3	1-3
Tigers	5-9	3-1	2-8	4-5	1-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	@TB	W 7-1	-	-	-
Jul 25th	@TB	L 1-4	-	-	-
Jul 23rd	COL	W 3-2	-	-	-
Jul 22nd	COL	L 3-4	-	-	-
Jul 21st	COL	L 1-6	-	-	-

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Jackson Jobe
SP
Jobe is out with elbow
Out
Trey Sweeney
SS
Sweeney is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
SP
Gipson-Long is out with oblique
Out
Beau Brieske
RP
Brieske is out with groin
Out
Troy Melton
SP
Melton is out with elbow
Out

Chris Paddack
SP
Chris Paddack has been scratched Sunday. Pete Fairbanks will start for the Marlins
Out
Esteury Ruiz
LF
Ruiz is out with oblique
Out
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with hamstring
Out
Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Olson, P	88	6	2	4
RJ.Cisnero, P	14	1	1	0
RJ.Foley, P	18	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Vierling, LF	2-5	0	0
2R.Greene, CF	1-4	0	0
3S.Torkelson, 1B	2-5	1	1
4A.Ibanez, 2B	1-5	0	1
4A.Baddoo, PR	0-0	0	0
5K.Carpenter, RF	0-3	0	0
5E.Haase, C	0-1	0	0
6J.Baez, SS	2-4	2	0
7M. Cabrera, DH	0-3	0	0
8J.Rogers, C	0-3	0	0
8Z.McKinstry, PH	0-0	1	0
8Z.McKinstry, RF	0-0	1	0
9Z.Short, 3B	1-2	0	0
9N.Maton, PH	2-2	1	2
9N.Maton, 3B	2-2	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	94	6	6	0
RH.Brazoban, P	11	0.2	1	1
LT.Scott, P	17	0.2	0	1
RJ.Chargois, P	20	0.2	0	1
LA.Puk, P	23	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	3-4	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	1-4	2	0	0
3B.De La Cruz, RF	2-4	1	1	3
4J.Sanchez, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4G.Hampson, PR	0-0	1	0	0
4G.Hampson, CF	0-0	1	0	0
5Y.Gurriel, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
6J.Berti, LF	2-4	1	0	1
7J.Wendle, SS	0-3	0	0	1
8J. Segura, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
9N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0	0