Tigers vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 19, 2024

Tigers at Braves

4:20 pm • BSSO

Detroit Tigers

53-32

0 - 7

Atlanta Braves

38-45

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5
T.Skubal			2.39	18-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 53-32	+1.5-191	o7.5-105	+114
Braves 38-45	-1.5+159	u7.5-115	-135

Wednesday 4:20 p.m.

June 19, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

DET +115

$1000.00

Under 7.5-113

R.Lopez o5.5 Ks+100

ATL -110 (F5)

1.5u

R.Lopez o5.5 Ks+100

DET +112

R.Lopez To Record 7+ Strikeouts Yes+172

R.Lopez To Record 8+ Strikeouts Yes+320

0.75u

R.Lopez To Record 9+ Strikeouts Yes+600

0.5u

R.Lopez o5.5 Ks-115

1.5u

T.Skubal u1.5 BB-140

1.4u

Skubal is under this line in 8/14 starts, including 5/7 on the road. His strike% of 69.6% is second amongst qualified pitchers, and his zone% is also second. 13/24 lefties under this line vs the Braves this season, including 8/L11. As a team, the Braves have a 3.8% walk % over the L30 days vs lefties. Only three projected starters (Duvall, Ozuna, Riley) have an above avg walk rate vs lefties. Braves also with the sixth highest chase rate over the L30 days.

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Featured Insight
The Braves have scored first in 57% of their games since the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB. The Tigers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

28% of Austin Riley strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 44% of Tarik Skubal's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 423 right-handed batters (4%) since the 2022 season -- 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% -- 95th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 17-26 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Braves' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	36-47	19-21	17-26	27-38	9-9
Tigers	47-38	27-17	20-21	32-23	15-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	32-46-5	13-24-3	19-22-2	26-36-3	6-10-2
Tigers	42-39-4	17-24-3	25-15-1	26-26-3	15-12-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	38-45	23-17	15-28	34-31	4-14
Tigers	53-32	30-14	23-18	39-16	14-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 18th	DET	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 9	ATL -162
Jun 17th	DET	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	ATL -207
Jun 16th	TB	L 6-8	-	O 9	TB -121
Jun 15th	TB	W 9-2	-1.5 W	O 9	ATL -130
Jun 14th	TB	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -225

Chris Sale
SP
Sale is out with ribs
Out
Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Nacho Alvarez
SS
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Alex Cobb
SP
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jose Urquidy
SP
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Skubal, P	83	4	7	4
RM.Englert, P	53	3	3	2
LJ.Wentz, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Perez, RF	2-4	0	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3R.Greene, CF	1-3	0	0	0
3J.Malloy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Malloy, LF	0-1	0	0	0
4M.Canha, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5G.Urshela, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
6Z.McKinstry, SS	0-2	0	0	0
6R.Kreidler, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6R.Kreidler, SS	0-2	0	0	0
7A.Ibanez, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
8A.Baddoo, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Baddoo, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RR.Lopez, P	93	5	6
LA.Bummer, P	28	2	2
RD.Hernandez, P	19	1	2
RG.Holmes, P	9	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Riley, 3B	2-3	1	0	0
6A.Duvall, LF	1-4	1	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	4-4	3	2	4
8O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9R.Laureano, RF	2-4	1	1	1