Royals vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2024

Royals at Yankees

11:05 pm • BSKC

Kansas City Royals

32-29

3 - 4

New York Yankees

37-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Gil			3.50	15-7
C.Ragans			3.14	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 32-29	+1.5-165	o8-103	+125
Yankees 37-23	-1.5+138	u8-116	-148

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

September 11, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

NYY -140 (Live)

0.71u

Under 8-115

0.87u

.tsa good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 331-228-20,59% (ROI:14%) Season:31-20-4,61% (ROI:16%) .tsa under when home team shutout Overall: 440-314-43,58% (ROI:12%) Season:29-24-3,55% (ROI:6%)

NYY -140

C.Ragans u17.5 Outs-120

1.2u

Under in 5/L8, in a tough spot to pitch efficiently. The Yankees see the 5th most pitches per PA, the lowest chase rate over the L30 days, and the highest BB% vs lefties over the same period. Ragans is at 4.09 pitches per PA (9th highest of 110 qualifiers), and that’s with an above avg chase rate (62nd percentile). Lugo went 7 IP yesterday, so the pen is in good shape. And Ragans is in uncharted territory with his innings as is.

NYY -145

0.69u

J.Dominguez o0.5 Hits-115

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

NYY -134 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -140

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Featured Insight
Yankees had allowed a run just 29% of the time after an opposing score last season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Royals answered-back in just 28% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Royals are 45-33 (.577) after a win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .492.

Anthony Volpe is batting just .231 since last season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .198 (151-for-764) against Cole Ragans since last season -- tied for fifth best among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (399/1,165) against Cole Ragans this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 13-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Yankees' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	29-31	16-13	13-18	26-27	3-4
Royals	34-27	17-15	17-12	11-13	22-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	25-33-2	11-18	14-15-2	22-30-1	3-3-1
Royals	22-38-1	12-20	10-18-1	10-14	12-23-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	37-23	19-10	18-13	35-18	2-5
Royals	32-29	19-13	13-16	13-11	18-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	KC	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 9	KC -143
Sep 9th	KC	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -191
Sep 8th	@CHC	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -161
Sep 7th	@CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYY -148
Sep 6th	@CHC	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 8	NYY -119

Seth Lugo
SP
Lugo is out with finger
Out
Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Ragans, P	100	6	7	2
LS.Long, P	15	1	0	0
RL.Erceg, P	26	2	2	0
LK.Bubic, P	15	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, RF	3-4	0	0	0
1D.Blanco, PR	0-0	1	0	0
1D.Blanco, RF	0-0	1	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-5	0	0	0
3S.Perez, 1B	1-2	0	0	1
3G.Hampson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3G.Hampson, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Melendez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5F.Fermin, C	0-5	0	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	1-5	1	1	1
7A.Frazier, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7R.Grossman, PH	1-1	0	0	0
7R.Grossman, DH	1-1	0	0	0
7P.DeJong, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7P.DeJong, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Garcia, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gil, P	97	5	5	1
LT.Hill, P	11	1	0	0
RC.Holmes, P	16	1	1	1
RT.Kahnle, P	17	1	1	0
RJ.Cousins, P	26	1.1	1	0
RL.Weaver, P	25	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
1J.Berti, PR	0-0	1	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-5	1	1	2
3A.Judge, CF	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
5G.Stanton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Verdugo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8A.Rizzo, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
8O.Cabrera, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8O.Cabrera, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Trevino, C	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Wells, PH	0-0	0	0	1
9A.Wells, C	0-0	0	0	1