Royals vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2024

Royals at Yankees

11:05 pm • BSKC

Kansas City Royals

3-3

3 - 4

New York Yankees

8-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Gil			3.50	15-7
C.Ragans			3.14	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-3	+1.5-165	o8-103	+125
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+138	u8-116	-148

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

September 11, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

Under 8-115

0.87u

.tsa good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 331-228-20,59% (ROI:14%) Season:31-20-4,61% (ROI:16%) .tsa under when home team shutout Overall: 440-314-43,58% (ROI:12%) Season:29-24-3,55% (ROI:6%)

NYY -140

C.Ragans u17.5 Outs-120

1.2u

Under in 5/L8, in a tough spot to pitch efficiently. The Yankees see the 5th most pitches per PA, the lowest chase rate over the L30 days, and the highest BB% vs lefties over the same period. Ragans is at 4.09 pitches per PA (9th highest of 110 qualifiers), and that’s with an above avg chase rate (62nd percentile). Lugo went 7 IP yesterday, so the pen is in good shape. And Ragans is in uncharted territory with his innings as is.

NYY -145

0.69u

J.Dominguez o0.5 Hits-115

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

NYY -134 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -140

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Featured Insight
Yankees had allowed a run just 29% of the time after an opposing score last season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Royals answered-back in just 28% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Royals are 45-33 (.577) after a win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .492.

Anthony Volpe is batting just .231 since last season -- tied for ninth worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .198 (151-for-764) against Cole Ragans since last season -- tied for fifth best among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (399/1,165) against Cole Ragans this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	KC	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 9	KC -143
Sep 9th	KC	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -191
Sep 8th	@CHC	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -161
Sep 7th	@CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYY -148
Sep 6th	@CHC	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 8	NYY -119

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Ragans, P	100	6	7	2
LS.Long, P	15	1	0	0
RL.Erceg, P	26	2	2	0
LK.Bubic, P	15	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, RF	3-4	0	0	0
1D.Blanco, PR	0-0	1	0	0
1D.Blanco, RF	0-0	1	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-5	0	0	0
3S.Perez, 1B	1-2	0	0	1
3G.Hampson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3G.Hampson, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Melendez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5F.Fermin, C	0-5	0	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	1-5	1	1	1
7A.Frazier, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7R.Grossman, PH	1-1	0	0	0
7R.Grossman, DH	1-1	0	0	0
7P.DeJong, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7P.DeJong, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Garcia, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gil, P	97	5	5	1
LT.Hill, P	11	1	0	0
RC.Holmes, P	16	1	1	1
RT.Kahnle, P	17	1	1	0
RJ.Cousins, P	26	1.1	1	0
RL.Weaver, P	25	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
1J.Berti, PR	0-0	1	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-5	1	1	2
3A.Judge, CF	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
5G.Stanton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Verdugo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8A.Rizzo, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
8O.Cabrera, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8O.Cabrera, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Trevino, C	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Wells, PH	0-0	0	0	1
9A.Wells, C	0-0	0	0	1