Royals vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2024

Royals at Yankees

11:05 pm • YES

Kansas City Royals

38-43

5 - 0

New York Yankees

46-34

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Stroman			4.31	10-9
S.Lugo			3.01	16-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 38-43	+1.5-173	o9+100	+120
Yankees 46-34	-1.5+144	u9-120	-143

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

September 10, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

M.Stroman u16.5 Outs-110

Since June 1, he’s under in 11/15 starts with a 5.38 ERA / 4.81 xFIP, a .367 wOBA, and a 6.3% K-BB%. Velocity was a tick down his last start, a trend we’ve seen from him late in the season at this level of workload in the past (he’s currently at his 2nd highest IP since 2017). Pen is rested enough as well. Royals don’t see a ton of pitches generally, but Stroman has the third lowest strike rate and sixth lowest zone rate amongst qualifiers. Too important of a game for both teams to have him on a longer leash.

NYY -1.5+135

Over 4.5 (F5)-122

1.53u

A.Judge o0.5 Runs Scored-120

1.2u

-1+ Run in 10/L12 Games vs KC -1+ Run in 10/L13 at Home (63% Home Hit Rate on the Season) -Yankees avg 3.38 Runs against starting RHP over their L13 Home Games -Lugo has been worse post ASB with 4.78 July ERA, 4.91 August ERA

NYY o2.5 Team Total (F5)+105

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Featured Insight
Yankees had allowed a run just 29% of the time after an opposing score last season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Royals answered-back in just 28% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Yankees' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	38-42	21-19	17-23	34-38	4-4
Royals	42-39	18-23	24-16	13-19	28-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	30-48-2	14-26	16-22-2	27-44-1	3-4-1
Royals	31-49-1	15-26	16-23-1	14-18	17-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	46-34	24-16	22-18	44-28	2-6
Royals	38-43	19-22	19-21	15-17	22-26

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 9th	KC	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -191
Sep 8th	@CHC	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -161
Sep 7th	@CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYY -148
Sep 6th	@CHC	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 8	NYY -119
Sep 5th	@TEX	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TEX -112

Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Lugo, P	105	7	10
LK.Bubic, P	12	1	2
RJ.Schreiber, P	18	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, RF	2-5	1	1	1
2B.Witt, SS	1-5	1	0	1
3S.Perez, 1B	2-3	0	0	2
4M.Melendez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5H.Renfroe, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5D.Blanco, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5D.Blanco, DH	0-0	1	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	1-1	0	0	0
6M.Garcia, PH	0-0	0	0	1
6M.Garcia, 2B	0-0	0	0	1
7P.DeJong, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8F.Fermin, C	1-4	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	2-3	2	0	0
9R.Grossman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9G.Hampson, CF	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	89	5.1	4	3
RM.Leiter, P	24	1.2	2	1
LT.Mayza, P	33	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Wells, C	1-3	0	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Chisholm, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Dominguez, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Rizzo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Volpe, SS	0-3	0	0	0