Royals vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - October 4, 2022

Royals at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Kansas City Royals

3-3

3 - 5

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Quantrill			3.38	15-5
D.Lynch			5.13	4-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-3	+1.5-137	o7-117	+165
Guardians 4-6	-1.5+120	u7-103	-190

Tuesday 10:10 p.m.

October 04, 2022

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -1.5+130

1.3u

CLE -1.5+125

1.25u

C. Quantrill o4.5 Ks+110

D. Lynch u4.5 Ks-143

0.7u

KC +160

0.5u

C. Quantrill u4.5 Ks-112

0.18u

Fanduel - No real incentive to have Cal pitch deep into this game - he’s under this line in 23/31 games this season. I doubt Cleveland let’s him throw more than 90 pitches today and when he’s thrown 90 or fewer he is 10/10 to the under even though he still can get deep into games due to his efficiency. Kansas City has actually struck out less often over the last 30 days as well. Dropping their K% from 21.8% on the season to 19.4% over the L30.

KC +165

0.5u

Wynn. Bet to +163

4 MLB Games with Value Picks Due to Wind
Avery Yang•
Oct 4, 2022 UTC

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The Guardians are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Vinnie Pasquantino has struck out in just 12% of PA's this season -- 12th lowest among hitters with at least 238 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 17% this season -- second lowest among qualified SPs-- fourth Percentile.

MJ Melendez has a miss rate of 21% on inside fastballs this season -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Cal Quantrill has located his fastball inside 48% of the time this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 62% (517/839) in two strike counts this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (253/1,380) against Cal Quantrill this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- sixth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 3rd	KC	L 2-5	-1.5 L	O 6.5	KC -200
Oct 2nd	KC	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 6.5	CLE -230
Oct 1st	KC	L 1-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	KC -180
Sep 30th	KC	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 7	CLE -143
Sep 29th	TB	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 6.5	CLE +115

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Lynch, P	92	4.2	2	5
RC.Snider, P	20	1.1	2	0
LA.Misiewicz, P	18	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Melendez, C	0-4	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	2-4	1	0
4E.Olivares, DH	0-3	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, PH	0-1	0	0
5M.Massey, 2B	0-4	0	1
6D.Waters, CF	0-4	0	0
7K.Isbel, LF	0-4	0	0
8N. Eaton, RF	2-3	2	0
9N.Lopez, 3B	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	78	5	4	1
RZ.Plesac, P	6	1	0	0
LS.Hentges, P	15	1	2	0
RJ.Karinchak, P	20	1	2	1
RE.Clase, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	3-4	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	1-4	1	0	2
4O. González, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	1-3	1	0	1
6O.Miller, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
7G.Arias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	1-3	1	0	0