Royals vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Royals at Blue Jays

7:07 pm • SNET

Kansas City Royals

13-8

6 - 1

Toronto Blue Jays

12-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Bassitt			4.16	10-14
S.Lugo			3.01	16-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 13-8	+1.5-180	o8-105	+120
Blue Jays 12-7	-1.5+150	u8-115	-142

Wednesday 7:07 p.m.

May 01, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

TOR -142

KC +116

1.16u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

TOR -130

0.75u

KC +110

1.65u

Plz keep making the Jays favorites

C.Bassitt o4.5 Ks-120

Ballpark pal projects 5.47 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -155 giving value to this number

KC +120

0.6u

Featured Insight
The Royals have allowed just 2.9 runs per game at home this season -- lowest in MLB (17 games). The Blue Jays have scored just 3.5 runs per game on the road this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (17 games).

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays right-handed hitters have struck out just 14% against LHP this season -- lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 16% vs right-handed batters this season -- lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Bets
Sean Zerillo•
May 1, 2024 UTC
MLB NRFI/YRFI Model Predictions for Wednesday
Billy Ward•
May 1, 2024 UTC

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The Royals are just 27-33 (.450) when they've scored in the first inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .614.

The Blue Jays are 39-17 (.696) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Blue Jays are just 10-65 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.

Maikel Garcia is slugging just .364 since last season -- tied for fifth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Chris Bassitt has allowed a SLG of just .310 vs right-handed batters since last season -- seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has walked 1 of 54 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 6% (2/32) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 6% (2/32) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	KC	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	KC -127
Apr 29th	KC	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TOR -170
Apr 28th	LAD	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TOR -112
Apr 27th	LAD	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	LAD +124
Apr 26th	LAD	L 2-12	+1.5 L	O 9	LAD +103

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	101	7	8	1
RC.Stratton, P	19	1	1	0
RN.Anderson, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-4	2	0	1
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	2-3	2	0	0
4S.Perez, C	1-3	0	0	1
5M.Massey, 2B	1-4	1	1	4
6N.Velazquez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Melendez, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Frazier, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8H.Renfroe, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Bassitt, P	92	6	4	3
RT.Richards, P	11	1	1	0
RN.Pearson, P	22	1	1	3
LB.Little, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2V.Guerrero, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
3B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4D.Vogelbach, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Biggio, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6D.Jansen, C	1-4	1	1	1
7D.Schneider, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Barger, LF	0-3	0	0	0