Rockies vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 13, 2025

Tyler Mahle locked in – 1.48 ERA through 8 starts, 2nd-best in MLB. Shuts down hard contact, opp OPS under .550. Rockies offense bottom 5 in runs/game (3.32) + AVG (.216). Mahle at home w/ elite command vs slumping lineup = recipe for silence. Dollander wild but workable – 7.71 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, but faces a Texas lineup that's cooled off. Rangers 3.9 runs/game over last 10. Under hits in 9 of last 12 Rangers home games. Globe Life sneaky pitcher-friendly – park factor 0.95 for runs. No Seager = no spark – Rockies 2-8 last 10, still adjusting post-Bud Black firing. Momentum, morale, matchups all down. Both teams lean cold, bullpens rested. Expect small ball, not fireworks.

Dollander gets out of Coors, but he's still facing one of the lower-strikeout teams in the league. It's a big leap for Dollander going from spending most of last year in High-A to the big leagues, and the early returns don't involve a ton of strikeouts. I'm expecting that number to rise, but this likely isn't the matchup for that regression to come.

Update: Roof Open; want 8.5 (-105) with Seager Out now