Rockies vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 15, 2024

Rockies at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Colorado Rockies

21-37

1 - 2

Philadelphia Phillies

29-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			3.57	14-8
C.Quantrill			4.97	8-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 21-37	+1.5+105	o8.5-115	+220
Phillies 29-28	-1.5-125	u8.5-105	-270

Monday 10:40 p.m.

April 15, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -1.5-130

$1.30

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+108

1.08u

A.Nola u7.5 Ks-152

PHI -1.5-122

1.22u

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

COL +225

0.5u

Nola's velo has dropped w/ each start & 4.50 ERA is below estimators - COL 28 pt wRC+ edge v RHP this year (yes, really). Could just play F5 because COL worst pen in MLB, but opting for better price.

Featured Insight
Rockies hitters have an OPS of .773 over the last week -- 10th best in MLB. Phillies RPs have allowed an OPS of .758 (101 PAs) over the last week -- ninth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies had won 56% of their games last season -- tied for sixth best in MLB. Rockies won just 36% of their games last season -- third worst.

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The Rockies are just 45-22 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Jacob Stallings has an OPS of just .581 since the 2022 season -- seventh worst among hitters with at least 507 total PA's-- second Percentile. Jose Alvarado has allowed an OPS of just .580 (415 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Ryan McMahon has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Jose Alvarado has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Aaron Nola threw his curveball 36% of the time (205/565) when behind in the count in the 2023 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% -- 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (8/70) against Cal Quantrill this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 10-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Phillies' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	18-39	8-22	10-17	14-26	4-13
Rockies	30-28	14-12	16-16	0-1	30-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	24-31-2	15-14-1	9-17-1	20-19-1	4-12-1
Rockies	26-31-1	12-13-1	14-18	0-0-1	26-31

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	29-28	14-16	15-12	23-17	6-11
Rockies	21-37	11-15	10-22	0-1	21-36

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	PIT	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -198
Apr 13th	PIT	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PHI -162
Apr 12th	PIT	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -163
Apr 11th	PIT	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	PHI -132
Apr 10th	@STL	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -140

Kris Bryant
DH
Bryant is out with back
Out
Zac Veen
OF
Veen is out with knee
Out
McCade Brown
P
Brown is out with shoulder
Out

Max Lazar
P
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

Andrew Painter
P
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable
Steward Berroa
OF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	90	6	1	1
RJ.Lawrence, P	11	1	1	0
LJ.Beeks, P	14	0.2	1	0
RN.Mears, P	13	1.1	1	0
RJ.Bird, P	4	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2E.Tovar, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3R.McMahon, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4E.Diaz, C	2-4	0	0	0
4K.Freeland, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Stallings, C	0-0	0	0	0
5N.Jones, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6E.Montero, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Toglia, RF	1-4	1	1	1
8B.Doyle, CF	1-3	0	0	0
9A.Trejo, 2B	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	99	7.1	9	1
LJ.Alvarado, P	2	0.2	0	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	15	1	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0
1C.Pache, PR	1-1	0	1
1C.Pache, DH	1-1	0	1
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	1	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-3	0	1
4J.Realmuto, C	1-4	0	0
5B.Marsh, LF	0-4	0	0
6N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	2-3	1	0
8W.Merrifield, 3B	0-3	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-3	0	0
9A.Bohm, PH	0-1	0	0