Reds vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2024

Reds at Guardians

10:40 pm • BSGL

Cincinnati Reds

5-3

1 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

2-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8
C.Spiers			5.46	5-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 5-3	+1.5	+1.5-125	o8.5-112	+167
Guardians 2-6	u7.5	-1.5+105	u8.5-108	-202

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

September 24, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -1.5+110

2.2u

CIN +174

Over 4.5 (F5)+100

#ProSystem ... F5 big home favs over after going under Overall: 147-94-11,61% (ROI:17%) Season:15-10-2,60% (ROI:18%)

CLE -1.5+135

1.35u

CLE -184

0.25u

Taking a piece off after Reds pitching change. Will eat the small F5 bet. Prefer Over on this game now and would pass on ML otherwise.

Over 7.5-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-110) after pitching change

CIN +142

0.5u

Update: Pass after pitching change

CIN +140 (F5)

0.25u

Update: Pass after pitching change

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Reds RPs since last season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% since last season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 0.9 runs per game in late innings this season -- lowest in MLB (157 games). The Reds have scored just 1.1 runs per game in late innings this season -- third lowest in MLB (157 games).

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The Guardians are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 62-18 (.775) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 22nd	@STL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	STL +112
Sep 21st	@STL	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	STL -130
Sep 21st	@STL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -102
Sep 19th	MIN	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	CLE -105
Sep 18th	MIN	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7	CLE -135

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Spiers, P	69	4	2	3
RI.Gibaut, P	21	1	1	1
LJ.Wilson, P	24	1	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	19	0.2	0	2
RY.Zulueta, P	21	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-1	0	0
1A.Rosario, 2B	0-1	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0
3T.Stephenson, C	1-4	1	0
4S.Steer, LF	1-4	0	1
5T.Friedl, CF	1-3	0	0
6T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0
7J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0
9N.Marte, DH	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	88	7	7	1
RH.Gaddis, P	12	1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Martinez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Manzardo, DH	1-3	2	1	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-2	1	0	2
5L.Thomas, CF	1-4	1	1	3
5L.Thomas, RF	1-4	1	1	3
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	2-2	0	0	0
7J.Noel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Noel, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7M.Straw, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-4	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0	0