Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024

Twins at Guardians

10:40 pm • BSGL

Minnesota Twins

20-20

4 - 5

Cleveland Guardians

23-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8
B.Ober			3.98	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 20-20	+1.5-198	o7-119	+114
Guardians 23-16	-1.5+164	u7-105	-135

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

September 18, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Over 5.5 (Live)+100

MIN +120 (Live)

🛩️🔥

CLE -127

Under 7.5-124

#ProSystem . Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams Overall: 412-280-28,60% (ROI:16%) Season:20-14-1,59% (ROI:14%)

Under 7.5-122

2.44u

T.Larnach o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+115

Over 7.5-110

1.36u

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Twins this season -- tied for fourth best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 2.4 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB (5 games). The Twins have scored just 2.0 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (7 games).

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Our MLB Best Bets for Wednesday
Action Network Staff•
Sep 18, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
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The Guardians are 39-10 (.796) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

58% of fastball strikeouts for Andres Gimenez are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 50% of Bailey Ober fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

David Fry is batting just .200 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- third worst among hitters with at least 226 total PA's-- first Percentile. Bailey Ober has a strike rate of 67% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (10/44) against Tanner Bibee this month (3 games) -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (148/435) against Tanner Bibee this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- fifth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 9-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Guardians' 18 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	18-21	9-9	9-12	8-7	10-13
Twins	23-17	15-5	8-12	15-11	8-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	20-16-3	7-10-1	13-6-2	10-5	10-10-3
Twins	13-24-3	6-13-1	7-11-2	9-15-2	4-9-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	23-16	12-6	11-10	12-3	11-12
Twins	20-20	14-6	6-14	14-12	6-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	MIN	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	MIN -142
Sep 16th	MIN	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -104
Sep 15th	TB	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -125
Sep 14th	TB	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -142
Sep 13th	TB	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TB -191

Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
SP
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out
Lane Thomas
CF
Thomas is out with wrist
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	101	7	12	2
RL.Varland, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	11	1	1	0
RR.Henriquez, P	21	0.1	1	2
RM.Tonkin, P	2	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1W.Castro, CF	1-3	2	0
2M.Wallner, RF	3-4	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	3-5	0	4
4C.Santana, 1B	0-5	0	0
5T.Larnach, DH	0-4	0	0
6J.Miranda, 3B	0-4	0	0
6R.Jeffers, C	0-0	0	0
7B.Lee, 2B	0-4	0	0
7K.Farmer, 2B	0-0	0	0
8M.Margot, LF	0-4	1	0
9C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0
9R.Lewis, PH	1-1	1	0
9R.Lewis, 3B	1-1	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	96	6.2	5	2
RC.Smith, P	13	1.1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	13	1	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	17	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Martinez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-4	3	2	2
5D.Fry, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5K.Manzardo, PH	1-1	0	0	1
5M.Straw, PR	0-0	1	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Noel, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Brennan, PH	1-1	0	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	0-4	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	0	0	1