Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024

Twins at Guardians

10:40 pm • BSGL

Minnesota Twins

7-14

4 - 5

Cleveland Guardians

11-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8
B.Ober			3.98	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 7-14	+1.5-198	o7-119	+114
Guardians 11-9	-1.5+164	u7-105	-135

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

September 18, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Over 5.5 (Live)+100

MIN +120 (Live)

🛩️🔥

CLE -127

Under 7.5-124

#ProSystem . Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams Overall: 412-280-28,60% (ROI:16%) Season:20-14-1,59% (ROI:14%)

Under 7.5-122

2.44u

T.Larnach o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+115

Over 7.5-110

1.36u

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Twins this season -- tied for fourth best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 2.4 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB (5 games). The Twins have scored just 2.0 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (7 games).

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Our MLB Best Bets for Wednesday
Action Network Staff•
Sep 18, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
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The Guardians are 39-10 (.796) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

58% of fastball strikeouts for Andres Gimenez are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 50% of Bailey Ober fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

David Fry is batting just .200 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- third worst among hitters with at least 226 total PA's-- first Percentile. Bailey Ober has a strike rate of 67% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (10/44) against Tanner Bibee this month (3 games) -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (148/435) against Tanner Bibee this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- fifth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 6-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	9-11	3-3	6-8	5-3	4-7
Twins	9-12	5-4	4-8	7-8	2-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	9-9-2	2-4	7-5-2	5-3	4-5-2
Twins	8-11-2	3-5-1	5-6-1	6-7-2	2-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	11-9	5-1	6-8	7-1	4-7
Twins	7-14	4-5	3-9	6-9	1-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	MIN	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	MIN -142
Sep 16th	MIN	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -104
Sep 15th	TB	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -125
Sep 14th	TB	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -142
Sep 13th	TB	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TB -191

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
P
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Royce Lewis
IF
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out
Pablo Lopez
P
Lopez is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	101	7	12	2
RL.Varland, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	11	1	1	0
RR.Henriquez, P	21	0.1	1	2
RM.Tonkin, P	2	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1W.Castro, CF	1-3	2	0
2M.Wallner, RF	3-4	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	3-5	0	4
4C.Santana, 1B	0-5	0	0
5T.Larnach, DH	0-4	0	0
6J.Miranda, 3B	0-4	0	0
6R.Jeffers, C	0-0	0	0
7B.Lee, 2B	0-4	0	0
7K.Farmer, 2B	0-0	0	0
8M.Margot, LF	0-4	1	0
9C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0
9R.Lewis, PH	1-1	1	0
9R.Lewis, 3B	1-1	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	96	6.2	5	2
RC.Smith, P	13	1.1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	13	1	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	17	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Martinez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-4	3	2	2
5D.Fry, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5K.Manzardo, PH	1-1	0	0	1
5M.Straw, PR	0-0	1	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Noel, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Brennan, PH	1-1	0	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	0-4	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	0	0	1