Reds vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 30, 2023

Reds at Dodgers

1:10 am • SportsNet LA

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

2 - 3

Los Angeles Dodgers

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Sheehan			4.92	4-1
L.Weaver			3.38	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-120	o10.5-115	+160
Dodgers 11-5	-1.5+100	u10.5-105	-193

Sunday 1:10 a.m.

July 30, 2023

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

Over 10.5-107

1.07u

E.Sheehan u16.5 Outs-135

After two strong starts out of the gate, Sheehan has stayed under in each of his last 4 starts. 6.76 ERA overall, and showing massive control issues, as he did in the minors (12 walks in his last three starts). His 62.1% strike % and 38.8% zone % ranks in the bottom 10th percentile amongst starters, and I think that’s going to come into play tonight. The Reds have a great eye as a team - 4th lowest chase rate in baseball (3rd lowest the L30 days). And while the bats have been streaky, the Reds are a top 5 4-seam fastball hitting team (per wRC) and Sheehan, who really is only a two pitch-pitcher, is overly reliant on his fastball (64% thrown).

Under 10.5-115

0.5u

Need -115 or better

LAD -170 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -175

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The Dodgers are 58-43 (.574) this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Freddie Freeman is batting .327 since last season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting .311 (71-for-228) against Luke Weaver since last season -- second worst among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP-- first Percentile.

James Outman has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Alexis Diaz has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 29th	CIN	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN -225
Jul 26th	TOR	L 1-8	-1.5 L	U 10	TOR -132
Jul 26th	TOR	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 9	LAD -148
Jul 25th	TOR	L 3-6	-1.5 L	U 9	TOR -120
Jul 23rd	@TEX	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TEX -120

Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Weaver, P	87	6	2	1
RF.Cruz, P	14	1	2	0
RB.Farmer, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.De La Cruz, SS	1-5	1	0
1E.De La Cruz, 3B	1-5	1	0
2T.Friedl, CF	1-4	1	0
3M.McLain, 2B	1-4	0	0
3M.McLain, SS	1-4	0	0
4J.Fraley, RF	0-2	0	0
4K.Newman, PH	0-1	0	1
4K.Newman, 2B	0-1	0	1
5S.Steer, 3B	1-4	0	1
5S.Steer, LF	1-4	0	1
6J. Votto, 1B	0-2	0	0
7C.Encarnacion-Strand, DH	1-3	0	0
8N.Senzel, LF	0-2	0	0
8W.Benson, PH	0-2	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-2	0	0
9L.Maile, C	1-3	0	0
9T.Stephenson, PH	1-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Sheehan, P	82	5	5	0
LC.Ferguson, P	21	0.2	1	2
RJ.Kelly, P	10	0.1	1	0
RB.Graterol, P	22	1.2	1	0
RE.Phillips, P	20	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Peralta, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
3W.Smith, C	0-2	0	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	2-3	2	2	3
5J.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Heyward, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Outman, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Taylor, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Hernandez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Rojas, SS	0-3	0	0	0