Red Sox vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 19, 2023

Red Sox at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN

Boston Red Sox

23-25

9 - 3

Minnesota Twins

26-21

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 23-25	+1.5-177	o7.5-110	+115
Twins 26-21	-1.5+146	u7.5-110	-140

Monday 11:40 p.m.

June 19, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

P.Lopez u6.5 Ks-140

1.4u

Projecting this closer to -180

MIN -145

MIN -125

1.25u

MIN -145

1.45u

A.Duvall o0.5 Hits-130

MIN -134

0.5u

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The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Jarren Duran is batting .600 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- third best among hitters with at least 105 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. Pablo Lopez has a strike rate of 72% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Byron Buxton has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. James Paxton has a strikeout rate of 33% this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (272/752) against right-handed batters this season -- highest among in MLB; League Avg: 14% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .033 (1-for-30) against James Paxton with two-strikes -- 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .164 -- 97th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (247/343) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 13-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Twins' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	28-19	15-6	13-13	17-12	11-7
Red Sox	23-25	10-13	13-12	16-17	7-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	16-28-3	7-13-1	9-15-2	10-17-2	6-11-1
Red Sox	24-23-1	10-12-1	14-11	15-17-1	9-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	26-21	15-6	11-15	17-12	9-9
Red Sox	23-25	12-11	11-14	18-15	5-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 18th	DET	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	DET -190
Jun 17th	DET	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 9	MIN -190
Jun 17th	DET	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 8	DET -255
Jun 15th	DET	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	DET -217
Jun 14th	MIL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -159

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with back
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Paxton, P	91	6.1	7	3
RJ.Winckowski, P	18	0.2	1	0
RJ. Garza, P	37	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	3-3	0	0	2
1R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	1	0	0
1R.Refsnyder, LF	0-1	1	0	0
2A.Verdugo, RF	2-4	0	0	4
3R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Duvall, CF	0-3	0	0	1
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-5	0	0	0
6C. Arroyo, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
7T.Casas, 1B	2-5	2	1	2
8C.Wong, C	1-4	2	0	0
9P.Reyes, SS	2-3	3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lopez, P	104	5.2	9	4
LJ. Moran, P	13	0.1	0	1
RJ. De León, P	25	1.1	0	3
RE.Pagan, P	17	0.2	0	0
RG.Jax, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Solano, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Correa, SS	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Kirilloff, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6W.Castro, CF	2-4	1	0	0
7K.Farmer, 3B	1-2	1	0	0
8J.Gallo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	1-3	1	1	3