Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2025

Red Sox at Orioles

5:05 pm • NESN
3 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Cade Povich logoC.PovichBaltimore Orioles logo5.213-8
Garrett Crochet logoG.CrochetBoston Red Sox logo2.5918-5

Red Sox at Orioles Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
1-2
-1.5
-1.5-125
o8-114
-204
Orioles
0-0
u8
+1.5+104
u8-105
+170
location pinThursday 5:05 p.m.
August 28, 2025
Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore
Red Sox vs. Orioles Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 79-63-2 (+10.9u)
BOS -1.5 (Live)-117
1.17u
Austin Pendergrass
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 47-49-0 (-2.0u)
BOS -188
0.53u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 143-126-1 (+5.8u)
R.Anthony o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110
0.91u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 33-39-0 (-3.1u)
C.Povich o5.5 Ks-128
0.64u
Povich has been heating up with 6.8 strikeouts per game over his last 4 starts, and the underlying data backs the surge. The big shift has been in his pitch mix..he’s now leaning more on his changeup, which boasts a nasty 34% whiff rate. That pitch should be key today vs. a Red Sox lineup sending 8 righties to the plate. Povich uses his change as the primary putaway pitch vs. RHBs, and Boston ranks 5th in whiff rate against changeups this season. I have his most likely outcome at 6 Ks and project the fair price closer to -155.
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 79-85-3 (-13.0u)
G.Crochet o18.5 Outs-105
1.05u
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 78-68-1 (+7.0u)
BOS -1.5-107
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 78-81-1 (-18.5u)
BAL +1.5-105
2.86u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 121-117-8 (-3.7u)
Under 8-115
0.75u

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Red Sox vs. Orioles Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Red Sox

Public

82%

Bets%

18%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Orioles
78-8437-4441-4025-4151-42
Red Sox
87-7543-3844-3753-5034-23

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Orioles
65-92-534-44-331-48-231-32-332-59-2
Red Sox
76-82-433-45-343-37-150-50-326-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Orioles
75-8739-4236-4532-3440-53
Red Sox
89-7348-3341-4061-4228-29

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 27thBOSL 2-3+1.5 WU 9BOS +119
Aug 26thBOSL 0-5+1.5 LU 8.5BOS +100
Aug 25thBOSL 3-4+1.5 WU 9BOS -101
Aug 24thHOUW 3-2-1.5 LU 9BAL -134
Aug 23rdHOUL 8-9+1.5 WO 9HOU -121

Red Sox vs. Orioles Injury Updates

Red Sox Injuries

  • Jose De Leon
    RP

    De Leon is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tanner Houck
    SP

    Houck is out with arm

    Out

  • Patrick Sandoval
    SP

    Sandoval is out with elbow

    Out

  • Kutter Crawford
    SP

    Crawford is out with knee

    Out

  • Jovani Moran
    RP

    Moran is out with arm

    Out

Orioles Injuries

  • Grayson Rodriguez
    SP

    Rodriguez is out with elbow

    Out

Red Sox vs. Orioles Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Garrett Crochet logoLG.Crochet, P98672
Jordan Hicks logoRJ.Hicks, P15100
Garrett Whitlock logoRG.Whitlock, P20110
Steven Matz logoLS.Matz, P12100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Roman Anthony logo1R.Anthony, RF2-3100
Alexander Bregman logo2A.Bregman, 3B0-4000
Trevor Story logo3T.Story, SS1-4111
Roman Gonzalez logo4R.Gonzalez, 1B1-4001
Robert Refsnyder logo5R.Refsnyder, DH2-4111
Nathan Eaton logo6N.Eaton, CF0-4000
Carlos Narvaez logo7C.Narvaez, C0-4000
Ceddanne Rafaela logo8C.Rafaela, 2B1-4000
Jhostynxon Garcia logo9J.Garcia, LF1-3000
Orioles Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Cade Povich logoLC.Povich, P81552
Kade Strowd logoRK.Strowd, P19220
Joshua Garcia logoRR.Garcia, P23111
Shawn Dubin logoRS.Dubin, P9100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jackson Holliday logo1J.Holliday, 2B2-5000
Jeremiah Jackson logo2J.Jackson, RF2-5001
Jeremiah Jackson logo2J.Jackson, 3B2-5001
Gunnar Henderson logo3G.Henderson, SS0-3000
Ryan Mountcastle logo4R.Mountcastle, DH1-4000
Emmanuel Rivera logo5E.Rivera, 3B2-4000
Daniel Johnson logo5D.Johnson, PR0-0000
Luis Vazquez logo5L.Vazquez, 1B0-0000
Colton Cowser logo6C.Cowser, CF0-3000
Coby Mayo logo7C.Mayo, 1B0-3000
Dylan Beavers logo7D.Beavers, PH0-1000
Dylan Beavers logo7D.Beavers, RF0-1000
Dylan Carlson logo8D.Carlson, LF1-3000
Alex Jackson logo9A.Jackson, C1-3211

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds Comparison

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Red Sox at Orioles Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox
1-2
o4.5-125
u4.5+100
Orioles
0-0
o3.5+114
u3.5-145